Sha Tin · 2024-12-15 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-15 was Class 3 over 1200m. SWIFT ASCEND, ridden by J McDonald and trained by D Eustace, won by 1/2, with MEOWTH second and MAJESTIC EXPRESS third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT 1.09.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 2 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | MEOWTH TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | AWESOME TREASURE TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 9 | 120.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 93.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | KA YING VICTORY A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | CHARMING BABE H/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 133.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | AERIS NOVA B/XB1/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 7 | 52.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ENDUED CP1/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 12 | 22.0 | 48-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER INFINITY CP Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 11 | 6.2 | 101-1/4 |
| — | 5 | JOYFUL HUNTER XB-/TT2 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 28.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MEOWTH | 32.8% | 3.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SWIFT ASCEND | 27.8% | 3.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | SUPER INFINITY | 12.9% | 7.73 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 6.5% | 15.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | ENDUED | 4.1% | 24.21 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | KA YING VICTORY | 3.8% | 26.36 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | AWESOME TREASURE | 3.8% | 26.66 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN LUCK | 2.7% | 37.17 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 2.1% | 46.58 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | AERIS NOVA | 2.0% | 49.66 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | CHARMING BABE | 1.4% | 71.49 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 23
PLACE
1 11
7 18.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
1,12 51.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 26.5
1,12 22
7,12 41
FORECAST
1,12 90
TIERCE
1,12,7 286
TRIO
1,7,12 74
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 226
QUARTET
1,12,7,4 2,404
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
5/1 833
5/12 221.5