Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 18:43
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly B/TT1 1.42.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 9 | 15.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 10 | PODIUM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 8 | 9.9 | NOSE |
| 3 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN Led early B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.2 | HD |
| 4 | 1 | CERVIN TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLAR GOGO B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 37.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SO AWESOME B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | CASA LEGEND P/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | IVICTORIAM TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 12 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | RED MAVERICK Closed strongly A Pouchin · Y S Tsui | A Pouchin | Y S Tsui | 10 | 9.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE XB L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 6.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLD TACK B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 36.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 11 | TATTENHAM L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Class 5 over 1650m. PEGASUS GENERAL, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by NOSE, with PODIUM second and GALLANT CROWN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite CERVIN finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CERVIN | 33.9% | 2.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 15.3% | 6.53 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN | 8.4% | 11.94 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 8.1% | 12.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 6.6% | 15.14 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | PODIUM | 6.2% | 16.14 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | RED MAVERICK | 5.9% | 17.09 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | SOLAR GOGO | 5.4% | 18.40 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | IVICTORIAM | 4.2% | 23.55 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | CASA LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.81 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLD TACK | 2.1% | 48.45 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 155
PLACE
3 50.5
5 17.5
10 26.5
QUINELLA
3,10 825
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 146.5
3,10 241
5,10 78.5
FORECAST
3,10 1,844
TIERCE
3,10,5 11,072
TRIO
3,5,10 1,438
FIRST 4
1,3,5,10 701
QUARTET
3,10,5,1 30,050