Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Class 4 over 1200m. HAPPY SOUL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with CIRCUIT DUFFY second and KA YING POWER third. The 1.8 favourite SPIRIT OF PEACE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT 1.10.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | CIRCUIT DUFFY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING POWER H/SR C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 39.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | TALENTS SUPREMO V/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 9 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LAKESHORE HERO B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 5 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | SPIRIT OF PEACE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY PARK A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 11 | 8.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | ICONICAL TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 112.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 4 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MEGA BONUS V- K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | LA MOMENTO H1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 53.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 26.5% | 3.77 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 26.1% | 3.83 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | LAKESHORE HERO | 9.7% | 10.30 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | HAPPY PARK | 9.2% | 10.83 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | HAPPY SOUL | 8.2% | 12.17 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | ONE FOR ALL | 4.8% | 20.92 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | KA YING POWER | 3.3% | 30.14 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | MEGA BONUS | 3.3% | 30.50 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 3.1% | 32.09 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | LA MOMENTO | 2.7% | 37.60 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | LUCKY PLANET | 2.2% | 45.62 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | ICONICAL | 0.8% | 120.66 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 76
PLACE
2 26.5
5 19
11 76.5
QUINELLA
2,5 310
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 86
2,11 355
5,11 247.5
FORECAST
5,2 507
TIERCE
5,2,11 7,943
TRIO
2,5,11 2,065
FIRST 4
2,5,11,12 3,312
QUARTET
5,2,11,12 58,090
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/6/2 12,825
2/6/5 51,302
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/2,5,11 385,610
4TH DOUBLE
6/2 871
6/5 3,797