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Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 21:46

Race 7

Group 3 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C S Shum 9 4.9 1/2
2 1 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 10 8.0 1/2
3 3 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 11 24.0 1/2
4 4 ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall 5 19.0 1-1/4
5 6 MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C S Shum 6 4.1 1-1/4
6 2 FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 3 15.0 1-3/4
7 11 STAR CONTACT B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 7 24.0 2
8 10 FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early K C Leung · F C Lor 2 5.3 2-1/2
9 8 MONEY CATCHER B M F Poon · F C Lor 12 11.0 2-1/2
10 9 WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 4 20.0 2-1/2
11 5 THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT A Pouchin · A S Cruz 8 47.0 3
12 12 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 1 10.0 3-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Group 3 over 1800m. HELENE FEELING, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and LA CITY BLANCHE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite MOMENTS IN TIME finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HELENE FEELING—2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.5L3. LA CITY BLANCHE+0.5L4. ENCOUNTERED+1.25L5. MOMENTS IN TIME+1.25L6. FIVE G PATCH+1.75L7. STAR CONTACT+2L8. FLAMINGO TRILLION+2.5L9. MONEY CATCHER+2.5L10. WOODFIRE BRO+2.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MOMENTS IN TIME (17.0%) finished 5th — the winner HELENE FEELING was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 MOMENTS IN TIME 17.0% 5.87 5
2 12 ROMANTIC LAOS 15.3% 6.53 12
3 10 FLAMINGO TRILLION 13.0% 7.67 8
4 1 HAPPY TOGETHER 9.4% 10.66 2
5 2 FIVE G PATCH 8.7% 11.46 6
6 9 WOODFIRE BRO 6.6% 15.13 10
7 4 ENCOUNTERED 6.4% 15.74 4
8 8 MONEY CATCHER 5.7% 17.40 9
9 7 HELENE FEELING 5.5% 18.19 1
10 3 LA CITY BLANCHE 4.3% 23.22 3
11 5 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 4.1% 24.17 11
12 11 STAR CONTACT 3.9% 25.92 7
MOMENTS IN TIMEROMANTIC LAOSFLAMINGO TRILLIONHAPPY TOGETHERFIVE G PATCHWOODFIRE BROENCOUNTEREDMONEY CATCHERHELENE FEELING — wonLA CITY BLANCHETHE GOLDEN SCENERYSTAR CONTACT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 49

PLACE

1 24

3 65.5

7 20

QUINELLA

1,7 256

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 245

1,7 93.5

3,7 244.5

FORECAST

7,1 506

TIERCE

7,1,3 5,329

TRIO

1,3,7 1,415

FIRST 4

1,3,4,7 6,307

QUARTET

7,1,3,4 132,713

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,10,11/1,3,7 86,390

6TH DOUBLE

10/1 39

10/7 247.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,5,11/4,10,11/1,3,7 1,789,914

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,5,11/4,10,11/Any Combination 13,107