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Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 13:50

Race 7

Group 3 1800m Course A 12 runners

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Group 3 over 1800m. HELENE FEELING, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and LA CITY BLANCHE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite MOMENTS IN TIME finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.49.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C S Shum 9 4.9 1/2
2 1 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 10 8.0 1/2
3 3 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 11 24.0 1/2
4 4 ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall 5 19.0 1-1/4
5 6 MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C S Shum 6 4.1 1-1/4
6 2 FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 3 15.0 1-3/4
7 11 STAR CONTACT B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 7 24.0 2
8 10 FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early K C Leung · F C Lor 2 5.3 2-1/2
9 8 MONEY CATCHER B M F Poon · F C Lor 12 11.0 2-1/2
10 9 WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 4 20.0 2-1/2
11 5 THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT A Pouchin · A S Cruz 8 47.0 3
12 12 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 1 10.0 3-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HELENE FEELING2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.5L3. LA CITY BLANCHE+0.5L4. ENCOUNTERED+1.25L5. MOMENTS IN TIME+1.25L6. FIVE G PATCH+1.75L7. STAR CONTACT+2L8. FLAMINGO TRILLION+2.5L9. MONEY CATCHER+2.5L10. WOODFIRE BRO+2.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MOMENTS IN TIME (17.0%) finished 5th — the winner HELENE FEELING was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 MOMENTS IN TIME 17.0% 5.87 5
2 12 ROMANTIC LAOS 15.3% 6.53 12
3 10 FLAMINGO TRILLION 13.0% 7.67 8
4 1 HAPPY TOGETHER 9.4% 10.66 2
5 2 FIVE G PATCH 8.7% 11.46 6
6 9 WOODFIRE BRO 6.6% 15.13 10
7 4 ENCOUNTERED 6.4% 15.74 4
8 8 MONEY CATCHER 5.7% 17.40 9
9 7 HELENE FEELING 5.5% 18.19 1
10 3 LA CITY BLANCHE 4.3% 23.22 3
11 5 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 4.1% 24.17 11
12 11 STAR CONTACT 3.9% 25.92 7
MOMENTS IN TIMEROMANTIC LAOSFLAMINGO TRILLIONHAPPY TOGETHERFIVE G PATCHWOODFIRE BROENCOUNTEREDMONEY CATCHERHELENE FEELING — wonLA CITY BLANCHETHE GOLDEN SCENERYSTAR CONTACT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 49

PLACE

1 24

3 65.5

7 20

QUINELLA

1,7 256

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 245

1,7 93.5

3,7 244.5

FORECAST

7,1 506

TIERCE

7,1,3 5,329

TRIO

1,3,7 1,415

FIRST 4

1,3,4,7 6,307

QUARTET

7,1,3,4 132,713

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,10,11/1,3,7 86,390

6TH DOUBLE

10/1 39

10/7 247.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,5,11/4,10,11/1,3,7 1,789,914

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,5,11/4,10,11/Any Combination 13,107