Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Class 4 over 1200m. FORTUNE WHISKEY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D Eustace, won by 3/4, with GOLDEN RISE second and EXCELLENT PEERS third. The 2.1 favourite GOLDEN RISE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT 1.09.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 2 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | GOLDEN RISE B1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | EXCELLENT PEERS H-/CP/XB A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | STREET CONQUEROR TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SATIRICAL FAN CP/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 3 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 61.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SPICY KNUCKLES H/CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 32.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | SHINE BRIGHT B B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 7 | 155.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY DAY CP1/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 9 | 37.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | LOADED WITH FLUKE CP A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 11 | 118.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | AFFIRM V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.8 | 41-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AFFIRM | 26.0% | 3.84 | 12 |
| 2 | 12 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 25.7% | 3.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | GOLDEN RISE | 18.6% | 5.39 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | STREET CONQUEROR | 9.9% | 10.07 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR | 6.7% | 14.83 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 3.5% | 28.25 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY DAY | 3.2% | 31.01 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | SATIRICAL FAN | 2.6% | 38.16 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 1.5% | 68.29 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | LOADED WITH FLUKE | 1.1% | 92.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 0.6% | 179.90 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | SHINE BRIGHT | 0.5% | 182.34 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 61
PLACE
4 12.5
6 62
12 18
QUINELLA
4,12 55
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 93
4,12 24.5
6,12 194
FORECAST
12,4 185
TIERCE
12,4,6 2,033
TRIO
4,6,12 420
FIRST 4
2,4,6,12 438
QUARTET
12,4,6,2 9,560
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/4 122
3/12 940