Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Class 4 over 1200m. JUDY'S GREAT, ridden by H T Mo and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with BEAUTY LIGHT second and SIGHT HAPPY third. The 2.8 favourite BEAUTY LIGHT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JUDY'S GREAT TT 1.10.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 9 | 65.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY LIGHT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 4 | SIGHT HAPPY CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 7.0 | N |
| 4 | 11 | DRACO H-/CP1/TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SHINKANSEN CP/H/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 11 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | THE PRIME B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 4 | 58.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | BULB EMPEROR B/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 10 | 68.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | CIRCUS REEL B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 1 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY GENERATIONS H/P/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO B A Atzeni · Y S Tsui | A Atzeni | Y S Tsui | 6 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | IRON LEGION B1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | BRAVE JOY TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 18.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY LIGHT | 22.8% | 4.39 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 17.7% | 5.64 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | BRAVE JOY | 16.3% | 6.14 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | DRACO | 9.2% | 10.84 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | IRON LEGION | 7.9% | 12.72 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | SHINKANSEN | 6.1% | 16.26 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | SIGHT HAPPY | 5.3% | 18.86 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.3% | 23.19 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | CIRCUS REEL | 3.8% | 26.17 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | THE PRIME | 2.4% | 41.41 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | JUDY'S GREAT | 2.2% | 45.49 | 1 |
| 12 | 8 | BULB EMPEROR | 1.9% | 51.36 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 655.5
PLACE
1 16.5
4 22.5
6 122.5
QUINELLA
1,6 1,046
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 52
1,6 327.5
4,6 504.5
FORECAST
6,1 3,308
TIERCE
6,1,4 26,037
TRIO
1,4,6 2,135
FIRST 4
1,4,6,11 1,631
QUARTET
6,1,4,11 89,812
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 45
2/6 5,035.5