Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Class 3 over 1200m. ETERNAL FORTUNE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with SPICY GOLD second and YOUNG ARROW third. The 2.8 favourite SPICY GOLD finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ETERNAL FORTUNE TT 1.09.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 5.4 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | SPICY GOLD H/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 3 | 2.8 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | YOUNG ARROW CP/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP-/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 1 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | KYRUS DRAGON H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 4 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 33.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | POWER KOEPP B/E A Pouchin · K L Man | A Pouchin | K L Man | 12 | 91.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | ALLGREEKTOME CP-/BO1/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 8 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 9.2 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 5 | 114.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 20.2% | 4.94 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 16.2% | 6.16 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 15.7% | 6.38 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | KYRUS DRAGON | 12.4% | 8.06 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | SPICY GOLD | 10.5% | 9.53 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 5.7% | 17.67 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | YOUNG ARROW | 5.5% | 18.10 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | ALLGREEKTOME | 5.3% | 18.99 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.4% | 29.63 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | POWER KOEPP | 1.9% | 52.23 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 1.9% | 52.37 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 1.3% | 78.00 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 54.5
PLACE
4 21
8 13.5
12 40
QUINELLA
4,8 97
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 40
4,12 171.5
8,12 101
FORECAST
4,8 233
TIERCE
4,8,12 3,129
TRIO
4,8,12 636
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 4,853
QUARTET
4,8,12,9 76,701
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
7/4 296
7/8 26.5