Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Class 4 over 1650m. FIREFOOT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with AMAZING AWARD second and SMART CITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FIREFOOT Closed strongly TT 1.41.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 9 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SMART CITY Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | YOUTH POWER Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | TRADITION Closed strongly B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 11 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Led early V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 12 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H A Pouchin · J Size | A Pouchin | J Size | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | SILVER UP B/TT2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 6.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | S J TOURBILLON K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 1 | 41.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | TO INFINITY B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 5 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | PERPETUAL POWER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 89.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SILVER UP | 18.9% | 5.29 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | FIREFOOT | 14.3% | 6.99 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 12.6% | 7.95 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | SMART CITY | 11.3% | 8.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | YOUTH POWER | 10.5% | 9.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | TO INFINITY | 8.5% | 11.82 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | AMAZING AWARD | 6.7% | 14.97 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | TRADITION | 4.9% | 20.24 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 4.3% | 23.45 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 3.8% | 26.25 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.6% | 28.08 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | PERPETUAL POWER | 0.7% | 141.24 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 29
PLACE
4 38.5
10 14
11 43.5
QUINELLA
10,11 263
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 84.5
4,11 258.5
10,11 94
FORECAST
10,11 441
TIERCE
10,11,4 3,845
TRIO
4,10,11 709
FIRST 4
4,9,10,11 2,958
QUARTET
10,11,4,9 34,513
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/10 282.5
5/11 160.5