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Happy Valley · 2025-01-08 · 21:11

Race 6

Class 4 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.41.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 FIREFOOT Closed strongly TT 1.41.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So 6 2.9 1
2 11 AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 9 18.0 1
3 4 SMART CITY Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 3 14.0 1-1/4
4 9 YOUTH POWER Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 10 14.0 2
5 12 TRADITION Closed strongly B H Bentley · Y S Tsui 11 27.0 2-1/2
6 1 HARMONY GALAXY TT H Bowman · C S Shum 7 4.0 2-1/2
7 8 ATOMIC BEAUTY Led early V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 12 14.0 2-1/2
8 5 ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H A Pouchin · J Size 8 14.0 2-1/2
9 3 SILVER UP B/TT2 L Ferraris · M Newnham 2 6.7 2-3/4
10 2 S J TOURBILLON K Teetan · C H Yip 1 41.0 3
11 7 TO INFINITY B/TT A Badel · J Richards 5 15.0 4-1/4
12 6 PERPETUAL POWER C L Chau · T P Yung 4 89.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-08 was Class 4 over 1650m. FIREFOOT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with AMAZING AWARD second and SMART CITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FIREFOOT—2. AMAZING AWARD+1L3. SMART CITY+1.25L4. YOUTH POWER+2L5. TRADITION+2.5L6. HARMONY GALAXY+2.5L7. ATOMIC BEAUTY+2.5L8. ESCAPE ROUTE+2.5L9. SILVER UP+2.75L10. S J TOURBILLON+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SILVER UP (18.9%) finished 9th — the winner FIREFOOT was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SILVER UP 18.9% 5.29 9
2 10 FIREFOOT 14.3% 6.99 1
3 1 HARMONY GALAXY 12.6% 7.95 6
4 4 SMART CITY 11.3% 8.85 3
5 9 YOUTH POWER 10.5% 9.55 4
6 7 TO INFINITY 8.5% 11.82 11
7 11 AMAZING AWARD 6.7% 14.97 2
8 12 TRADITION 4.9% 20.24 5
9 5 ESCAPE ROUTE 4.3% 23.45 8
10 8 ATOMIC BEAUTY 3.8% 26.25 7
11 2 S J TOURBILLON 3.6% 28.08 10
12 6 PERPETUAL POWER 0.7% 141.24 12
SILVER UPFIREFOOT — wonHARMONY GALAXYSMART CITYYOUTH POWERTO INFINITYAMAZING AWARDTRADITIONESCAPE ROUTEATOMIC BEAUTYS J TOURBILLONPERPETUAL POWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 29

PLACE

4 38.5

10 14

11 43.5

QUINELLA

10,11 263

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 84.5

4,11 258.5

10,11 94

FORECAST

10,11 441

TIERCE

10,11,4 3,845

TRIO

4,10,11 709

FIRST 4

4,9,10,11 2,958

QUARTET

10,11,4,9 34,513

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5/10 282.5

5/11 160.5