Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 1 over 1200m. SON PAK FU, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by NOSE, with COPARTNER PRANCE second and BRAVE STAR third. The 2.2 favourite COPARTNER PRANCE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SON PAK FU B/TT 1.08.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 3 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB R Moore · K W Lui | R Moore | K W Lui | 4 | 2.2 | NOSE |
| 3 | 5 | BRAVE STAR XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 1 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | RAGING BLIZZARD P H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 2.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | TAJ DRAGON B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 5 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 44.9% | 2.23 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 20.0% | 5.00 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | BRAVE STAR | 15.1% | 6.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | SON PAK FU | 11.3% | 8.82 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | TAJ DRAGON | 8.7% | 11.47 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 74
PLACE
3 13
4 25
QUINELLA
3,4 68.5
FORECAST
4,3 179
TIERCE
4,3,5 823
TRIO
3,4,5 115