Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 3 over 1000m. RED ELEGANCE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with YOUTHFUL SPIRITS second and HARMONY N BLESSED third. The 3.6 favourite ETERNAL FORTUNE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RED ELEGANCE B 0.56.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS B-/SR/V1/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | ETERNAL FORTUNE TT R Moore · C S Shum | R Moore | C S Shum | 5 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SERGEANT PEPPER CP- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 55.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 2 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 6 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | KING ECCELLENTE B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 8.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | MULTIDUTCH B1/TT1 B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 12 | 58.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | AWESOME TREASURE B-/CP1/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 76.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HONG KONG HALL H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 3 | 72.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RED ELEGANCE | 24.3% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER | 14.8% | 6.74 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 14.4% | 6.96 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 12.9% | 7.76 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 10.1% | 9.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 8.3% | 12.09 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.9% | 20.58 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 3.8% | 26.40 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | MULTIDUTCH | 2.0% | 50.88 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | AWESOME TREASURE | 1.9% | 53.76 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | HONG KONG HALL | 1.4% | 71.42 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 1.3% | 75.74 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 40.5
PLACE
1 53
2 16.5
5 22.5
QUINELLA
2,5 152.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 138
1,5 228
2,5 53.5
FORECAST
2,5 295
TIERCE
2,5,1 3,545
TRIO
1,2,5 996
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 552
QUARTET
2,5,1,3 12,990
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/2/2 569
4/2/5 286
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,8/1,2,5 55,548
8TH DOUBLE
2/2 205.5
2/5 82.5
SIX UP
2,8/3,4/1,8/4,10/2,8/2,5 7,754
8/4/1/4/2/2 357,111
4 [A S Cruz] —
7 [H Bentley] —