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Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 12:15

Race 4

Class 4 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 4 over 1200m. SUPER SIXTY, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with HAPPY TRIO second and NEW POWER third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.76
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 SUPER SIXTY H/P 1.09.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes 2 2.7 N
2 2 HAPPY TRIO B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 6 19.0 N
3 6 NEW POWER H- M L Yeung · C W Chang 9 10.0 N
4 3 EXCELLENT PEERS CP/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor 11 17.0 3/4
5 7 SONIC PURSUIT CP-/BO1/TT K C Leung · J Richards 4 54.0 3/4
6 4 SOLAR RIVER CP/TT C L Chau · K H Ting 1 10.0 1-1/2
7 1 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT XB/TT R Moore · C S Shum 7 5.8 3-1/4
8 5 TRAVEL GOLF B/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 3 4.0 4
9 10 CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 10 29.0 4
10 12 SWEET DIAMOND TT B Thompson · P F Yiu 12 66.0 4-1/4
11 9 REGENT GLORY B A Hamelin · D A Hayes 5 24.0 4-1/4
12 11 GLORIOUS EXPERT K Teetan · D J Hall 8 36.0 4-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SIXTY2. HAPPY TRIO+0.05L3. NEW POWER+0.05L4. EXCELLENT PEERS+0.75L5. SONIC PURSUIT+0.75L6. SOLAR RIVER+1.5L7. YEE CHEONG SPIRIT+3.25L8. TRAVEL GOLF+4L9. CRYSTAL POWERFUL+4L10. SWEET DIAMOND+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SUPER SIXTY (23.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 SUPER SIXTY 23.9% 4.18 1
2 1 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT 15.4% 6.49 7
3 6 NEW POWER 11.4% 8.80 3
4 3 EXCELLENT PEERS 9.1% 10.99 4
5 4 SOLAR RIVER 8.6% 11.62 6
6 11 GLORIOUS EXPERT 7.0% 14.27 12
7 2 HAPPY TRIO 5.7% 17.46 2
8 9 REGENT GLORY 5.2% 19.10 11
9 10 CRYSTAL POWERFUL 4.7% 21.13 9
10 5 TRAVEL GOLF 3.5% 28.27 8
11 12 SWEET DIAMOND 3.1% 32.50 10
12 7 SONIC PURSUIT 2.3% 43.82 5
SUPER SIXTY — wonYEE CHEONG SPIRITNEW POWEREXCELLENT PEERSSOLAR RIVERGLORIOUS EXPERTHAPPY TRIOREGENT GLORYCRYSTAL POWERFULTRAVEL GOLFSWEET DIAMONDSONIC PURSUIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 27.5

PLACE

2 42

6 29.5

8 14

QUINELLA

2,8 230.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 217.5

2,8 77.5

6,8 52

FORECAST

8,2 320

TIERCE

8,2,6 1,965

TRIO

2,6,8 465

FIRST 4

2,3,6,8 1,093

QUARTET

8,2,6,3 14,494

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

3/2 47

3/8 45