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Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 12:45

Race 5

Class 1 1650m Course C 9 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 1 over 1650m. MOMENTS IN TIME, ridden by R Moore and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with HELENE FEELING second and C P BRAVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.39.01
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT 1.39.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Moore · C S Shum 3 3.6 SH
2 3 HELENE FEELING Led early B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 8 7.0 SH
3 7 C P BRAVE Closed strongly V C L Chau · P F Yiu 7 11.0 1-1/2
4 6 MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu 6 7.8 2
5 1 NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu 4 18.0 2
6 9 WOODFIRE BRO M L Yeung · C W Chang 2 6.7 2-1/4
7 5 THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 9 12.0 4
8 2 ENCOUNTERED B K Teetan · D J Hall 1 3.9 4
9 8 SENOR TOBA CP A Atzeni · C H Yip 5 23.0 4-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MOMENTS IN TIME2. HELENE FEELING+0.1L3. C P BRAVE+1.5L4. MR ASCENDENCY+2L5. NIMBLE NIMBUS+2L6. WOODFIRE BRO+2.25L7. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+4L8. ENCOUNTERED+4L9. SENOR TOBA+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick HELENE FEELING (20.8%) finished 2nd — the winner MOMENTS IN TIME was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 HELENE FEELING 20.8% 4.81 2
2 4 MOMENTS IN TIME 20.5% 4.88 1
3 6 MR ASCENDENCY 13.5% 7.41 4
4 2 ENCOUNTERED 13.1% 7.66 8
5 8 SENOR TOBA 10.7% 9.34 9
6 1 NIMBLE NIMBUS 8.6% 11.65 5
7 5 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 5.4% 18.50 7
8 9 WOODFIRE BRO 3.8% 26.63 6
9 7 C P BRAVE 3.7% 27.12 3
HELENE FEELINGMOMENTS IN TIME — wonMR ASCENDENCYENCOUNTEREDSENOR TOBANIMBLE NIMBUSTHE GOLDEN SCENERYWOODFIRE BROC P BRAVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 36

PLACE

3 23

4 13.5

7 31.5

QUINELLA

3,4 110

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 45

3,7 107.5

4,7 70.5

FORECAST

4,3 241

TIERCE

4,3,7 1,642

TRIO

3,4,7 452

FIRST 4

3,4,6,7 560

QUARTET

4,3,7,6 10,311

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

3/8/3 68

3/8/4 226

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,8/3,4,7 35,364

4TH DOUBLE

8/3 41.5

8/4 139