Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT 2.16.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | HAKKA RADIANCE B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 3.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | GOOD GOOD Led early B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly CP-/V1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT D McDonogh · C S Shum | D McDonogh | C S Shum | 2 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR Closed strongly TT1 H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 11 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | INTREPID WINNER B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 4 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | FLYING SILVER CP2/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 44.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly PC-/B2 M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 9 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PHANTOM CYCLONE CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 98.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | AFFORDABLE B/TT R Moore · D A Hayes | R Moore | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE B-/V1 A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 12 | 24.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 4 over 2200m. SERANGOON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with HAKKA RADIANCE second and GOOD GOOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite HAKKA RADIANCE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOOD GOOD | 18.5% | 5.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 15.5% | 6.45 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | AFFORDABLE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 9.2% | 10.83 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | SERANGOON | 8.6% | 11.67 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | FLYING SILVER | 7.6% | 13.22 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 6.9% | 14.47 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 6.8% | 14.79 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | PERFECT PAIRING | 6.0% | 16.76 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 4.8% | 20.96 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | INTREPID WINNER | 2.1% | 46.81 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 1.9% | 53.30 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 52.5
PLACE
5 18
7 23
12 15.5
QUINELLA
5,12 88
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 59
5,12 35
7,12 50
FORECAST
5,12 199
TIERCE
5,12,7 1,134
TRIO
5,7,12 219
FIRST 4
5,7,11,12 172
QUARTET
5,12,7,11 3,761
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/5 307
4/12 66.5