Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 13:15

Race 6

Class 4 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 4 over 1200m. CHARMING BABE, ridden by J Orman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with GOOD PROSPECT second and CLUB ACE third. The 2.4 favourite FUN N FUN TOGETHER finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.09.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 CHARMING BABE H-/TT 1.09.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · P F Yiu 11 26.0 3/4
2 8 GOOD PROSPECT CP/H/XB K C Leung · T P Yung 4 8.0 3/4
3 5 CLUB ACE TT H Bowman · J Size 10 9.6 3/4
4 12 TOGEPI B/TT H T Mo · W K Mo 12 95.0 1-1/2
5 10 MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 5 31.0 3
6 4 FUN N FUN TOGETHER CP L Hewitson · F C Lor 1 2.4 3-1/2
7 9 ACE POWER B/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte 7 8.4 3-3/4
8 6 IRON LEGION B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 8 87.0 4
9 11 THE PRIME B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 3 22.0 4-1/4
10 3 JUDY'S GREAT TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 2 16.0 5
11 2 SIGHT HAPPY CP K Teetan · D A Hayes 6 4.2 5-3/4
12 7 COSMO NAVIGATOR B A Hamelin · C W Chang 9 78.0 8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHARMING BABE2. GOOD PROSPECT+0.75L3. CLUB ACE+0.75L4. TOGEPI+1.5L5. MY INTELLIGENT+3L6. FUN N FUN TOGETHER+3.5L7. ACE POWER+3.75L8. IRON LEGION+4L9. THE PRIME+4.25L10. JUDY'S GREAT+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FUN N FUN TOGETHER (21.1%) finished 6th — the winner CHARMING BABE was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 FUN N FUN TOGETHER 21.1% 4.75 6
2 2 SIGHT HAPPY 13.7% 7.29 11
3 3 JUDY'S GREAT 11.4% 8.77 10
4 5 CLUB ACE 10.8% 9.29 3
5 9 ACE POWER 10.4% 9.63 7
6 8 GOOD PROSPECT 7.1% 14.06 2
7 10 MY INTELLIGENT 6.6% 15.17 5
8 1 CHARMING BABE 6.3% 15.84 1
9 11 THE PRIME 5.3% 18.99 9
10 7 COSMO NAVIGATOR 3.5% 28.72 12
11 12 TOGEPI 3.1% 32.65 4
12 6 IRON LEGION 0.9% 116.77 8
FUN N FUN TOGETHERSIGHT HAPPYJUDY'S GREATCLUB ACEACE POWERGOOD PROSPECTMY INTELLIGENTCHARMING BABE — wonTHE PRIMECOSMO NAVIGATORTOGEPIIRON LEGION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 260.5

PLACE

1 55.5

5 27.5

8 25.5

QUINELLA

1,8 927.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 306

1,8 249

5,8 97.5

FORECAST

1,8 2,182

TIERCE

1,8,5 14,079

TRIO

1,5,8 1,930

FIRST 4

1,5,8,12 28,056

QUARTET

1,8,5,12 775,169

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/1 1,092

4/8 55.5