Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT 1.40.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 2 | 5.0 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 3 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 2 | RED MAJESTY B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | THE AZURE Closed strongly R Moore · F C Lor | R Moore | F C Lor | 7 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT D McDonogh · C S Shum | D McDonogh | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | CIRCUIT FIERY Led early PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | STORM RUNNER Closed strongly B-/TT1 R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 11 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 10 | 45.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | THE WAY WE WIN CP-/B1/BR1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 144.0 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. STURDY RUBY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and GOOD LUCK WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite THE AZURE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THE AZURE | 24.6% | 4.07 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | STURDY RUBY | 23.3% | 4.29 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 14.2% | 7.06 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 9.0% | 11.13 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | TAKE ACTION | 6.9% | 14.42 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 6.2% | 16.22 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | RED MAJESTY | 5.1% | 19.42 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.5% | 28.19 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX | 2.9% | 34.09 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 2.7% | 37.53 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | STORM RUNNER | 1.0% | 101.84 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | THE WAY WE WIN | 0.6% | 178.15 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 50.5
PLACE
4 18
8 34.5
10 27.5
QUINELLA
4,10 183
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 88
4,10 65.5
8,10 164.5
FORECAST
4,10 364
TIERCE
4,10,8 3,647
TRIO
4,8,10 860
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 844
QUARTET
4,10,8,2 18,807
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/4,8,10 249,605
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 1,795
1/10 479.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,7/1,5,8/4,8,10 11,838,403
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,7/1,5,8/Any Combination 24,478