Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. STURDY RUBY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and GOOD LUCK WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite THE AZURE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT 1.40.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 2 | 5.0 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 3 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 2 | RED MAJESTY B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | THE AZURE Closed strongly R Moore · F C Lor | R Moore | F C Lor | 7 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT D McDonogh · C S Shum | D McDonogh | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | CIRCUIT FIERY Led early PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | STORM RUNNER Closed strongly B-/TT1 R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 11 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 10 | 45.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | THE WAY WE WIN CP-/B1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 144.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THE AZURE | 24.6% | 4.07 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | STURDY RUBY | 23.3% | 4.29 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 14.2% | 7.06 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 9.0% | 11.13 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | TAKE ACTION | 6.9% | 14.42 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 6.2% | 16.22 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | RED MAJESTY | 5.1% | 19.42 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.5% | 28.19 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX | 2.9% | 34.09 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 2.7% | 37.53 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | STORM RUNNER | 1.0% | 101.84 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | THE WAY WE WIN | 0.6% | 178.15 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 50.5
PLACE
4 18
8 34.5
10 27.5
QUINELLA
4,10 183
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 88
4,10 65.5
8,10 164.5
FORECAST
4,10 364
TIERCE
4,10,8 3,647
TRIO
4,8,10 860
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 844
QUARTET
4,10,8,2 18,807
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/4,8,10 249,605
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 1,795
1/10 479.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,7/1,5,8/4,8,10 11,838,403
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,7/1,5,8/Any Combination 24,478