Happy Valley · 2025-02-26 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Closed strongly XB 1.39.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Moore · D A Hayes | R Moore | D A Hayes | 1 | 1.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | LEAN HERO Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 59.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | RED HARE KING TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | I CAN H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | AERIS NOVA V/XB/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 5 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SIMPLE HEDGE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-26 was Class 3 over 1650m. SOLEIL FIGHTER, ridden by R Moore and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1, with ROMANTIC LAOS second and LEAN HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 50.8% | 1.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | RED HARE KING | 11.2% | 8.95 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | I CAN | 9.0% | 11.05 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 7.4% | 13.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 5.5% | 18.05 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | AERIS NOVA | 5.4% | 18.55 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | JUMBO LEGEND | 4.2% | 23.73 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 3.8% | 26.59 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | LEAN HERO | 2.7% | 37.50 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 14.5
PLACE
3 10.1
4 41.5
8 104.5
QUINELLA
3,4 129
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 51.5
3,8 164
4,8 727.5
FORECAST
3,4 188
TIERCE
3,4,8 4,051
TRIO
3,4,8 1,606
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 1,909
QUARTET
3,4,8,7 24,559
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,12/3,4,8 25,327
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 98
5/4 121.5