Happy Valley · 2025-03-05 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. HARMONY N HOME, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with BOWSER second and LUCKY PLANET third. The 2.5 favourite BOWSER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HARMONY N HOME 1.09.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 5 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | BOWSER PC-/TT R Moore · P F Yiu | R Moore | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | E UNIVERSE TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | ACCOLADE START B/XB/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 11 | 85.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | INNO CENTURY D McDonogh · W Y So | D McDonogh | W Y So | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | REWARDING TWINKLE CP1/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | HAPPY UNITED B-/P2/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 8 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | YOUNG BRAVO XB1 B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 7 | 65.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | KING GLORIOSO B J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 6 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | GIMME FIVE B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | COLONEL B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LUCKY PLANET | 18.3% | 5.46 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | BOWSER | 13.3% | 7.50 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | GIMME FIVE | 12.0% | 8.31 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | E UNIVERSE | 12.0% | 8.33 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY UNITED | 9.7% | 10.35 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | INNO CENTURY | 9.2% | 10.92 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | HARMONY N HOME | 9.1% | 10.98 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | ACCOLADE START | 5.9% | 16.82 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | KING GLORIOSO | 3.3% | 30.12 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | COLONEL | 3.0% | 33.09 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | YOUNG BRAVO | 2.1% | 48.47 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 2.0% | 48.99 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 137.5
PLACE
2 13
10 14
11 33
QUINELLA
2,11 175
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 24.5
2,11 56.5
10,11 63.5
FORECAST
11,2 546
TIERCE
11,2,10 1,698
TRIO
2,10,11 162
FIRST 4
2,5,10,11 258
QUARTET
11,2,10,5 10,093
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/2 79
10/11 1,261