Happy Valley · 2025-03-05 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. DRAGON FOUR SEAS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won by N, with TELECOM POWER second and SWAGGER BRO third. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 1 | 1.4 | N |
| 2 | 12 | TELECOM POWER B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 8 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SWAGGER BRO B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 25.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | ENDUED B/TT R Moore · J Richards | R Moore | J Richards | 6 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPER CHARIZZARD PC L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | LOVEISINTHEAIR B1/H1/TT1 B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 7 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CHAMPION METHOD TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 12 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | SOMETHING JONAH K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 5 | 73.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | SANTORINI B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 88.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | RIDING HIGH B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | MAGIC BEANS TT J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 9 | 106.0 | 5-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 49.5% | 2.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 8.0% | 12.51 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | CHAMPION METHOD | 7.6% | 13.18 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | TELECOM POWER | 6.0% | 16.72 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | ENDUED | 5.9% | 16.89 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | SWAGGER BRO | 5.4% | 18.37 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | RIDING HIGH | 5.2% | 19.20 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD | 4.2% | 23.94 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | LOVEISINTHEAIR | 3.6% | 27.48 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | SANTORINI | 1.8% | 56.01 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | MAGIC BEANS | 1.4% | 69.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SOMETHING JONAH | 1.3% | 74.76 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 14
PLACE
2 44.5
4 11
12 26
QUINELLA
4,12 93.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 72
2,12 252.5
4,12 36
FORECAST
4,12 116
TIERCE
4,12,2 1,354
TRIO
2,4,12 427
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 672
QUARTET
4,12,2,1 7,678
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
8/4 208
8/12 120.5