Happy Valley · 2025-03-05 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-05 was Class 3 over 1200m. SPICY GOLD, ridden by A Badel and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with SPORTS LEGEND second and SUGAR SUGAR third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPICY GOLD H-/P1/TT 1.09.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 5 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 4 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 1 | 4.2 | N |
| 3 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | SEASONS WIT B/TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 3 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | EASON H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 8 | 7.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | LEGENDARY IMPACT TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 7 | 74.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | AURIO SR/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SWEET BRIAR V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPICY GOLD | 20.7% | 4.83 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | EASON | 19.0% | 5.28 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | SPORTS LEGEND | 18.2% | 5.48 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 9.8% | 10.20 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 7.0% | 14.34 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 6.8% | 14.79 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SWEET BRIAR | 6.4% | 15.71 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | AURIO | 6.2% | 16.10 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | SEASONS WIT | 4.5% | 22.27 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 1.5% | 67.24 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 37.5
PLACE
1 33
4 17
5 14
QUINELLA
4,5 85.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 88.5
1,5 62.5
4,5 35
FORECAST
5,4 201
TIERCE
5,4,1 1,240
TRIO
1,4,5 270
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 878
QUARTET
5,4,1,3 11,250
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/8/4 258
6/8/5 977
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,10/1,4,5 4,889
8TH DOUBLE
8/4 45
8/5 141.5
SIX UP
4/1/1/6/8/5 8,020
4,12/1,2/1,5/6,8/8,10/4,5 543
1 [R Moore] —
2 [J Size], 3 [M Newnham] —