Happy Valley · 2025-03-05 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-05 was Class 3 over 1200m. ROMANTIC SON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D A Hayes, won by NOSE, with BEAUTY INFINITY second and NORDIC DRAGON third. The 3.4 favourite SUNNY DA BEST finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON 1.09.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY INFINITY A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 3.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 2 | NORDIC DRAGON TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 8 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 36.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | YOUNG EMPEROR TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 1 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SUNNY DA BEST TT R Moore · W Y So | R Moore | W Y So | 7 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | TAI VICTORY L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MIGHTY COMMANDER H/TT J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 3 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FRANCIS MEYNELL TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 25.2% | 3.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SUNNY DA BEST | 19.4% | 5.17 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | FRANCIS MEYNELL | 14.1% | 7.12 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON | 10.6% | 9.47 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 9.6% | 10.41 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | YOUNG EMPEROR | 6.2% | 16.23 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | TAI VICTORY | 5.1% | 19.77 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 4.7% | 21.44 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | NORDIC DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.09 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 2.3% | 43.60 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 64.5
PLACE
2 36
6 19.5
8 13
QUINELLA
6,8 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 120.5
2,8 69.5
6,8 41.5
FORECAST
6,8 263
TIERCE
6,8,2 1,929
TRIO
2,6,8 407
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 1,978
QUARTET
6,8,2,5 30,725
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,12/2,6,8 38,244
6TH DOUBLE
1/6 314
1/8 29
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,10/1,5,12/2,6,8 1,917,873
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,10/1,5,12/Any Combination 9,698