Happy Valley · 2025-03-05 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. GOLDEN RISE, ridden by R Moore and trained by J Size, won by SH, with PRIME MORTAR second and YOUNG HORIZON third. The 4.0 favourite SILVER SPURS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN RISE B 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 10 | 4.6 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT J Orman · A S Cruz | J Orman | A S Cruz | 9 | 26.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 26.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SILVER SPURS CP/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | MEGA BONUS V L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LUCKY BLESSING B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | COLOURFUL WINNER CP M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR CP-/H-/V1/XB1 L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 6 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | TAIHANG SCENERY H/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | STAR FIGURE TT1 H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 5 | 4.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SPICY SPANGLE H2/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | MACANESE MASTER B B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 2 | 49.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN RISE | 26.3% | 3.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MEGA BONUS | 14.6% | 6.86 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | STAR FIGURE | 13.1% | 7.63 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | SILVER SPURS | 12.4% | 8.06 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 7.4% | 13.54 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR | 6.9% | 14.54 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 5.2% | 19.12 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SPICY SPANGLE | 4.1% | 24.37 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | LUCKY BLESSING | 4.1% | 24.61 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON | 3.5% | 28.97 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | MACANESE MASTER | 1.3% | 75.14 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR | 1.2% | 86.72 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 46.5
PLACE
1 19
2 60.5
10 57
QUINELLA
1,2 399.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 128
1,10 139.5
2,10 585.5
FORECAST
1,2 674
TIERCE
1,2,10 7,260
TRIO
1,2,10 2,313
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 2,161
QUARTET
1,2,10,11 42,786
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/4/1 848
8/4/2 619
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/1,2,10 155,728
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 69.5
4/2 54.5