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Happy Valley · 2025-03-05 · 22:18

Race 8

Class 4 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 SKY VINO Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes 8 4.5 N
2 10 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT- A Hamelin · D Eustace 4 2.9 N
3 1 PRESTIGE GOOD Closed strongly B-/V1/TT R Kingscote · P F Yiu 6 8.1 1-1/4
4 4 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT R Moore · C H Yip 5 6.7 1-3/4
5 3 CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · M Newnham 11 39.0 2
6 2 TURIN WARRIOR XB J Orman · K L Man 3 11.0 3-1/4
7 7 WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early H- Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 8.3 4
8 6 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So 9 25.0 4-1/2
9 11 PING HAI COMET Closed strongly H B Thompson · J Size 12 23.0 5-1/4
10 12 EN PERFECTO Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum 10 27.0 5-1/4
11 5 GOR MO TUEN TT D McDonogh · T P Yung 2 45.0 14
12 9 THE DOUBLE EAGLE B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 1 141.0 14-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-05 was Class 4 over 1650m. SKY VINO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and PRESTIGE GOOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SKY VINO—2. JUMBO FORTUNE+0.05L3. PRESTIGE GOOD+1.25L4. HAPPY DAILY+1.75L5. CASA ROCHESTER+2L6. TURIN WARRIOR+3.25L7. WAH MAY WAI WAI+4L8. OWNERS' PRAISE+4.5L9. PING HAI COMET+5.25L10. EN PERFECTO+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick JUMBO FORTUNE (23.6%) finished 2nd — the winner SKY VINO was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 JUMBO FORTUNE 23.6% 4.23 2
2 8 SKY VINO 15.5% 6.46 1
3 2 TURIN WARRIOR 11.7% 8.53 6
4 7 WAH MAY WAI WAI 11.1% 9.00 7
5 4 HAPPY DAILY 10.5% 9.50 4
6 1 PRESTIGE GOOD 8.6% 11.61 3
7 3 CASA ROCHESTER 5.5% 18.10 5
8 6 OWNERS' PRAISE 5.2% 19.30 8
9 12 EN PERFECTO 3.4% 29.71 10
10 5 GOR MO TUEN 2.2% 45.35 11
11 11 PING HAI COMET 2.1% 48.42 9
12 9 THE DOUBLE EAGLE 0.6% 179.86 12
JUMBO FORTUNESKY VINO — wonTURIN WARRIORWAH MAY WAI WAIHAPPY DAILYPRESTIGE GOODCASA ROCHESTEROWNERS' PRAISEEN PERFECTOGOR MO TUENPING HAI COMETTHE DOUBLE EAGLE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 45.5

PLACE

1 24.5

8 18

10 14.5

QUINELLA

8,10 77

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 60

1,10 42.5

8,10 32.5

FORECAST

8,10 157

TIERCE

8,10,1 805

TRIO

1,8,10 169

FIRST 4

1,4,8,10 203

QUARTET

8,10,1,4 3,064

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

6/8 254

6/10 55.5