Happy Valley · 2025-03-05 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-05 was Class 4 over 1650m. SKY VINO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and PRESTIGE GOOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SKY VINO Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 4.5 | N |
| 2 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT- A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 4 | 2.9 | N |
| 3 | 1 | PRESTIGE GOOD Closed strongly B-/V1/TT R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT R Moore · C H Yip | R Moore | C H Yip | 5 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 39.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR XB J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early H- Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | PING HAI COMET Closed strongly H B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 12 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | EN PERFECTO Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | GOR MO TUEN TT D McDonogh · T P Yung | D McDonogh | T P Yung | 2 | 45.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 9 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 141.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 23.6% | 4.23 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | SKY VINO | 15.5% | 6.46 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR | 11.7% | 8.53 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 11.1% | 9.00 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY | 10.5% | 9.50 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 8.6% | 11.61 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | CASA ROCHESTER | 5.5% | 18.10 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 5.2% | 19.30 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | EN PERFECTO | 3.4% | 29.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | GOR MO TUEN | 2.2% | 45.35 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | PING HAI COMET | 2.1% | 48.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE | 0.6% | 179.86 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 45.5
PLACE
1 24.5
8 18
10 14.5
QUINELLA
8,10 77
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 60
1,10 42.5
8,10 32.5
FORECAST
8,10 157
TIERCE
8,10,1 805
TRIO
1,8,10 169
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 203
QUARTET
8,10,1,4 3,064
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
6/8 254
6/10 55.5