Happy Valley · 2025-04-09 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-09 was Class 4 over 1200m. SOVEREIGN FUND, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-3/4, with GOOD PROSPECT second and HARMONY N HOME third. The 3.2 favourite GOOD PROSPECT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SOVEREIGN FUND B/TT 1.09.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 2 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | GOOD PROSPECT CP/H/XB K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 9 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | EXCELLENT PEERS CP/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | EXCEED THE WISH H L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | CIRCUIT FIERY PC/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 7 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YOUNG HORIZON CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT XB/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 8 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE H/P1/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 41.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER SICARIO H/XB K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 10 | 145.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | KING VICTOR P1 A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 11 | 92.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOOD PROSPECT | 32.5% | 3.08 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 19.1% | 5.24 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 9.6% | 10.46 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 7.4% | 13.59 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 6.8% | 14.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | YOUNG HORIZON | 6.0% | 16.74 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME | 5.8% | 17.29 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 4.3% | 23.32 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | EXCEED THE WISH | 3.7% | 27.04 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 2.1% | 47.65 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | KING VICTOR | 2.0% | 49.14 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER SICARIO | 0.8% | 122.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 45
PLACE
3 17
5 54
10 14
QUINELLA
3,10 72
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 223
3,10 32
5,10 131
FORECAST
3,10 178
TIERCE
3,10,5 3,512
TRIO
3,5,10 537
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 291
QUARTET
3,10,5,2 9,664
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
2/3 330.5
2/10 22