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Happy Valley · 2025-04-09 · 12:45

Race 5

Class 3 1000m Course A 10 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-09 was Class 3 over 1000m. COLOURFUL KING, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D Eustace, won by 2, with YOUTHFUL SPIRITS second and CASA OF HONOR third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.16
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 COLOURFUL KING TT 0.56.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D Eustace 4 3.0 2
2 2 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 8 3.4 2
3 5 CASA OF HONOR XB1 M F Poon · C W Chang 10 16.0 4
4 8 WATCH THIS ONE CP1/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 6 9.5 4-1/4
5 1 HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 2 5.5 4-1/4
6 6 SEASONS WIT B/TT J Orman · J Richards 5 12.0 4-1/4
7 3 ETERNAL FORTUNE TT H T Mo · C S Shum 7 9.2 5
8 9 KING ECCELLENTE B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 3 33.0 5-1/4
9 10 MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 63.0 6-1/2
10 7 BASIC INSTINCT B1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 9 130.0 6-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COLOURFUL KING2. YOUTHFUL SPIRITS+2L3. CASA OF HONOR+4L4. WATCH THIS ONE+4.25L5. HARMONY N BLESSED+4.25L6. SEASONS WIT+4.25L7. ETERNAL FORTUNE+5L8. KING ECCELLENTE+5.25L9. MULTIDUTCH+6.5L10. BASIC INSTINCT+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick COLOURFUL KING (25.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 COLOURFUL KING 25.3% 3.96 1
2 2 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS 22.3% 4.48 2
3 3 ETERNAL FORTUNE 12.4% 8.09 7
4 8 WATCH THIS ONE 10.1% 9.91 4
5 5 CASA OF HONOR 8.6% 11.67 3
6 1 HARMONY N BLESSED 8.5% 11.83 5
7 9 KING ECCELLENTE 6.0% 16.71 8
8 6 SEASONS WIT 5.4% 18.56 6
9 10 MULTIDUTCH 1.0% 100.45 9
10 7 BASIC INSTINCT 0.6% 170.03 10
COLOURFUL KING — wonYOUTHFUL SPIRITSETERNAL FORTUNEWATCH THIS ONECASA OF HONORHARMONY N BLESSEDKING ECCELLENTESEASONS WITMULTIDUTCHBASIC INSTINCT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 30

PLACE

2 14.5

4 12.5

5 46

QUINELLA

2,4 58

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 24

2,5 121.5

4,5 92

FORECAST

4,2 107

TIERCE

4,2,5 971

TRIO

2,4,5 205

FIRST 4

2,4,5,8 310

QUARTET

4,2,5,8 4,345

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

2/3/2 198

2/3/4 744

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,10/2,4,5 11,168

4TH DOUBLE

3/2 41.5

3/4 204.5