Happy Valley · 2025-04-09 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FLYING FORTRESS Closed strongly TT 1.39.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 1 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | KOLACHI Closed strongly XB- M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 2 | 137.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | IVY LEAGUE SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | CAMBRIDGE Closed strongly XB-/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 3 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 10 | 3.3 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CHARITY TOGETHER B1 M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 5 | 55.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | OUTGATE Led early H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 9 | 14.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-09 was Class 3 over 1650m. FLYING FORTRESS, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W K Mo, won by 1, with ROCKET SPADE second and KOLACHI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 26.7% | 3.74 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | FLYING FORTRESS | 18.2% | 5.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | IVY LEAGUE | 10.3% | 9.70 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN | 8.4% | 11.92 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | OUTGATE | 8.3% | 12.01 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | ROCKET SPADE | 8.0% | 12.53 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 6.8% | 14.64 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | STAR CONTACT | 6.5% | 15.30 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | SETANTA | 3.4% | 29.74 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | CAMBRIDGE | 2.3% | 43.07 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | KOLACHI | 1.0% | 105.11 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 25
PLACE
4 35
5 241.5
10 12
QUINELLA
4,10 262
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 1,659.5
4,10 85
5,10 735
FORECAST
10,4 410
TIERCE
10,4,5 30,250
TRIO
4,5,10 9,042
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 14,714
QUARTET
10,4,5,8 274,972
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 133.5
3/10 351.5