Happy Valley · 2025-04-09 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly 1.39.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 8 | 6.2 | NOSE |
| 2 | 1 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 1 | 4.7 | NOSE |
| 3 | 6 | THE AZURE Closed strongly A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SKY VINO H-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 6 | 42.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 5 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | OCEAN IMPACT J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 3 | 7.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B-/TT- Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 12 | 97.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 9.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 72.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | GALLANT EPOCH Led early B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 8.8 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-09 was Class 4 over 1650m. CASA ROCHESTER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by M Newnham, won by NOSE, with QUANTUM PATCH second and THE AZURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite QUANTUM PATCH finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 21.9% | 4.57 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | SKY VINO | 12.5% | 8.01 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | GALLANT EPOCH | 11.4% | 8.77 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | QUANTUM PATCH | 10.5% | 9.50 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | CASA ROCHESTER | 8.6% | 11.66 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | OCEAN IMPACT | 7.3% | 13.78 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | RED MAJESTY | 6.9% | 14.45 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 6.3% | 15.79 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | THE AZURE | 5.9% | 16.81 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR | 4.4% | 22.70 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | FLYING SILVER | 3.1% | 32.60 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | TO INFINITY | 1.2% | 82.12 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 62
PLACE
1 17.5
3 23
6 72.5
QUINELLA
1,3 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 65
1,6 273.5
3,6 329.5
FORECAST
3,1 418
TIERCE
3,1,6 7,497
TRIO
1,3,6 1,886
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 3,024
QUARTET
3,1,6,4 73,814
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/1,3,6 71,735
6TH DOUBLE
1/1 16.5
1/3 220.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,5/1,3,5/1,3,6 1,970,481
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,5/1,3,5/Any Combination 936