Happy Valley · 2025-04-09 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-09 was Class 3 over 1200m. GOLDEN EMPIRE, ridden by K De Melo and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with STORM RIDER second and SUGAR SUGAR third. The 2.5 favourite STORM RIDER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B 1.09.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 2 | 7.0 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | STORM RIDER CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 5 | 2.5 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLDEN RISE B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 7.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | CHARMING BABE TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | YOUNG ARROW CP H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 34.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | RUN RUN SMART TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS V-/B2/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 8.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | CONSPIRATOR XB/H1 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOLDEN RISE | 20.9% | 4.78 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | STORM RIDER | 16.2% | 6.19 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | YOUNG ARROW | 15.3% | 6.52 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | CHARMING BABE | 14.2% | 7.06 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 9.9% | 10.09 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 5.0% | 19.99 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 4.6% | 21.86 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES | 4.1% | 24.25 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | CONSPIRATOR | 3.0% | 33.09 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | RUN RUN SMART | 2.6% | 38.12 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 2.4% | 42.03 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 1.7% | 57.35 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 70
PLACE
1 58
5 22
7 12
QUINELLA
5,7 107
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 228.5
1,7 122
5,7 47.5
FORECAST
5,7 301
TIERCE
5,7,1 4,366
TRIO
1,5,7 867
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 991
QUARTET
5,7,1,8 33,293
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/10/5 2,523
3/10/7 140
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,10/1,5,7 1,705,628
8TH DOUBLE
10/5 493.5
10/7 19
SIX UP
3/4/1/3/10/5 107,724
3,10/2,4/1,5/1,3/4,10/5,7 816
1 [H Bowman] —
3 [C Fownes] —