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Happy Valley · 2025-04-09 · 13:15

Race 6

Class 4 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-09 was Class 4 over 1200m. STELLAR SWIFT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with BEAUTY THUNDER second and BOWSER third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 STELLAR SWIFT B/TT 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D A Hayes 2 1.7 N
2 5 BEAUTY THUNDER TT A Badel · W K Mo 6 28.0 N
3 3 BOWSER XB1/TT- J Orman · P F Yiu 1 5.9 1/2
4 8 SUPER GOLDI CP K C Leung · F C Lor 4 12.0 1-1/4
5 12 TELECOM POWER B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 9 18.0 1-1/2
6 9 ACE POWER B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 3 8.0 2-1/2
7 7 RICH HORSE H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall 7 160.0 2-3/4
8 6 CLUB ACE TT A Atzeni · J Size 8 14.0 2-3/4
9 11 SUPER CHARIZZARD PC L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 41.0 3-3/4
10 10 BRAVE JOY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 10 116.0 4-1/2
11 4 GALVANIC B2/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 11 25.0 4-1/2
12 2 TURF PHOENIX B- M L Yeung · W Y So 5 126.0 8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STELLAR SWIFT2. BEAUTY THUNDER+0.05L3. BOWSER+0.5L4. SUPER GOLDI+1.25L5. TELECOM POWER+1.5L6. ACE POWER+2.5L7. RICH HORSE+2.75L8. CLUB ACE+2.75L9. SUPER CHARIZZARD+3.75L10. BRAVE JOY+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick STELLAR SWIFT (26.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 STELLAR SWIFT 26.5% 3.77 1
2 3 BOWSER 17.8% 5.61 3
3 9 ACE POWER 14.8% 6.76 6
4 6 CLUB ACE 14.1% 7.09 8
5 4 GALVANIC 7.9% 12.65 11
6 12 TELECOM POWER 4.8% 20.95 5
7 11 SUPER CHARIZZARD 4.5% 22.14 9
8 8 SUPER GOLDI 4.3% 23.34 4
9 5 BEAUTY THUNDER 2.6% 39.12 2
10 10 BRAVE JOY 1.0% 96.82 10
11 7 RICH HORSE 0.9% 108.22 7
12 2 TURF PHOENIX 0.8% 128.27 12
STELLAR SWIFT — wonBOWSERACE POWERCLUB ACEGALVANICTELECOM POWERSUPER CHARIZZARDSUPER GOLDIBEAUTY THUNDERBRAVE JOYRICH HORSETURF PHOENIX

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 17

PLACE

1 12.5

3 15

5 50

QUINELLA

1,5 231.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 21.5

1,5 83

3,5 163.5

FORECAST

1,5 298

TIERCE

1,5,3 1,189

TRIO

1,3,5 329

FIRST 4

1,3,5,8 621

QUARTET

1,5,3,8 8,293

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/1 84.5

4/5 181