Happy Valley · 2025-04-16 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-16 was Class 4 over 2200m. MANAGEMENT FOLKS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with PERFECT PAIRING second and SERANGOON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly V- 2.16.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 8 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 3 | 8.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 11 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | HAKKA RADIANCE Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 6 | 4.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ROMANTIC FANTASY B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 1 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | PEGASUS GENERAL B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FLOOF TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | MIDORI GIANT B H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 7 | 7.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT Led early B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 8.9 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 30.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 26.7% | 3.74 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 11.6% | 8.64 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | PERFECT PAIRING | 9.8% | 10.21 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 9.6% | 10.39 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | FLOOF | 9.3% | 10.75 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | MIDORI GIANT | 9.0% | 11.15 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 6.3% | 15.89 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | SERANGOON | 5.8% | 17.39 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 4.4% | 22.64 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 4.4% | 22.93 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 3.2% | 31.31 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 30
PLACE
2 24
8 10.1
10 13.5
11 26.5
QUINELLA
10,11 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 46.5
2,10 37
2,11 78.5
8,10 13
8,11 25
10,11 54.5
FORECAST
10,11 290
TIERCE
10,11,2 1,633
10,11,8 505
TRIO
2,10,11 354
8,10,11 102
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 529
QUARTET
10,11,2,8 5,725
10,11,8,2 4,738
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/10 378.5
10/11 163