Happy Valley · 2025-04-16 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-16 was Class 4 over 1200m. LUCKY PLANET, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by 4, with MEGA BONUS second and MAJESTIC DELIGHT third. Victory came as the 4.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT 1.09.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | MEGA BONUS V C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 7 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT H/XB1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GREAT SPIRIT CP A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 6 | 7.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | GOKO WIN B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MY FLYING ANGEL B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | WORLD HERO B A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | E UNIVERSE TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 9.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | KING LOTUS L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 11 | 8.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 5.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | NOBLE GO P-/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 65.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY PLANET | 17.4% | 5.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GOKO WIN | 15.7% | 6.36 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 14.8% | 6.76 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | GREAT SPIRIT | 13.2% | 7.56 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | MEGA BONUS | 8.5% | 11.79 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.8% | 14.65 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | WORLD HERO | 5.8% | 17.18 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 4.8% | 20.86 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | KING LOTUS | 4.7% | 21.10 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | E UNIVERSE | 4.1% | 24.28 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 3.4% | 29.50 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | NOBLE GO | 0.7% | 136.39 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 49
PLACE
5 20
6 41
8 84
QUINELLA
5,6 399.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 123
5,8 377
6,8 620
FORECAST
5,6 561
TIERCE
5,6,8 16,047
TRIO
5,6,8 4,782
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 3,729
QUARTET
5,6,8,4 70,330
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/5 727
1/6 220.5