Happy Valley · 2025-04-16 · 12:15

Race 4

Class 3 1200m Course B 9 runners

Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-16 was Class 3 over 1200m. GIANT LEAP, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with POWER KOEPP second and WINGS OF WAR third. The 2.4 favourite WINGS OF WAR finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.55

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	7	GIANT LEAP B 1.09.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu	A Atzeni	P F Yiu	9	119 lb	21.0	1
2	4	POWER KOEPP A Badel · M Newnham	A Badel	M Newnham	4	123 lb	2.5	1
3	1	WINGS OF WAR B H Bowman · D J Whyte	H Bowman	D J Whyte	2	135 lb	2.4	1-3/4
4	5	DENFIELD TT Z Purton · C S Shum	Z Purton	C S Shum	1	121 lb	7.9	2
5	9	WRITTEN CASA B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards	M Chadwick	J Richards	7	117 lb	35.0	2-1/4
6	2	ROMANTIC SON H Bentley · D A Hayes	H Bentley	D A Hayes	5	127 lb	13.0	4-1/2
7	6	WARRIORS DREAM H/XB1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace	K Teetan	D Eustace	8	120 lb	20.0	6
8	8	SWEET BRIAR V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui	L Hewitson	K W Lui	6	117 lb	58.0	10-1/4
9	3	KA YING VICTORY CP M F Poon · D J Hall	M F Poon	D J Hall	3	125 lb	15.0	11-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25

The model's top pick POWER KOEPP (31.3%) finished 2nd — the winner GIANT LEAP was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	4	POWER KOEPP	31.3%	3.20	2	2.5
2	5	DENFIELD	23.5%	4.25	4	7.9
3	1	WINGS OF WAR	16.2%	6.16	3	2.4
4	7	GIANT LEAP	6.8%	14.79	1	21.0
5	2	ROMANTIC SON	6.2%	16.18	6	13.0
6	3	KA YING VICTORY	6.0%	16.71	9	15.0
7	9	WRITTEN CASA	4.9%	20.22	5	35.0
8	6	WARRIORS DREAM	2.8%	35.19	7	20.0
9	8	SWEET BRIAR	2.2%	44.98	8	58.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 212.5

PLACE

1 14

4 10.1

7 40.5

QUINELLA

4,7 222.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 19.5

1,7 68

4,7 74

FORECAST

7,4 697

TIERCE

7,4,1 1,580

TRIO

1,4,7 136

FIRST 4

1,4,5,7 159

QUARTET

7,4,1,5 7,129

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

10/4 62.5

10/7 1,010

← Race 3 Race 5 → This meeting Draw bias · Happy Valley 1200m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99