Happy Valley · 2025-05-21 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-21 was Class 5 over 1650m. STERLING WONGCHOY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2, with WINDICATOR FAMILY second and COOL BLUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite VERBIER finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | STERLING WONGCHOY Closed strongly B/XB 1.40.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | COOL BLUE Closed strongly E/P/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 2 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly P-/B2/TT2 C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 5 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly V/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 8 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | NINJA DERBY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE H/PC/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 1 | 6.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | VERBIER Led early V/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 3.2 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | MILES AWAY B-/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 6 | 148.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | U S S CONSTITUTION Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | CONFRINGO V2/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 9 | 38.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE | 21.5% | 4.66 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 21.2% | 4.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | VERBIER | 13.6% | 7.34 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | COOL BLUE | 9.8% | 10.24 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | SMILING EMPEROR | 8.3% | 12.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 7.2% | 13.89 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 4.6% | 21.87 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | NINJA DERBY | 3.9% | 25.81 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 3.8% | 26.37 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | PERFECT PEACH | 3.8% | 26.48 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | CONFRINGO | 1.2% | 80.34 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MILES AWAY | 1.1% | 88.21 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 127
PLACE
4 19.5
9 37
11 26
QUINELLA
4,9 268
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 90
4,11 62
9,11 130.5
FORECAST
9,4 631
TIERCE
9,4,11 3,523
TRIO
4,9,11 608
FIRST 4
4,8,9,11 3,297
QUARTET
9,4,11,8 72,905
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/4 41.5
7/9 652.5