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Happy Valley · 2025-05-21 · 19:11

Race 2

Class 5 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 STERLING WONGCHOY Closed strongly B/XB 1.40.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte 4 12.0 2
2 4 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly V M F Poon · D J Hall 3 5.4 2
3 11 COOL BLUE Closed strongly E/P/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 2 7.8 2-1/2
4 8 PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly P-/B2/TT2 C L Chau · C W Chang 5 35.0 2-3/4
5 2 SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly V/XB H Bentley · K H Ting 7 7.7 3-1/2
6 3 APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace 8 24.0 3-3/4
7 6 NINJA DERBY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 10 14.0 4
8 12 MEDIC ELITE H/PC/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 1 6.2 5
9 7 VERBIER Led early V/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 11 3.2 5
10 10 MILES AWAY B-/TT B Thompson · J Richards 6 148.0 7-1/4
11 5 U S S CONSTITUTION Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · J Size 12 21.0 7-1/2
12 1 CONFRINGO V2/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 9 38.0 9

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-21 was Class 5 over 1650m. STERLING WONGCHOY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2, with WINDICATOR FAMILY second and COOL BLUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite VERBIER finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STERLING WONGCHOY—2. WINDICATOR FAMILY+2L3. COOL BLUE+2.5L4. PERFECT PEACH+2.75L5. SMILING EMPEROR+3.5L6. APOLAR FIGHTER+3.75L7. NINJA DERBY+4L8. MEDIC ELITE+5L9. VERBIER+5L10. MILES AWAY+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MEDIC ELITE (21.5%) finished 8th — the winner STERLING WONGCHOY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 MEDIC ELITE 21.5% 4.66 8
2 4 WINDICATOR FAMILY 21.2% 4.71 2
3 7 VERBIER 13.6% 7.34 9
4 11 COOL BLUE 9.8% 10.24 3
5 2 SMILING EMPEROR 8.3% 12.01 5
6 9 STERLING WONGCHOY 7.2% 13.89 1
7 3 APOLAR FIGHTER 4.6% 21.87 6
8 6 NINJA DERBY 3.9% 25.81 7
9 5 U S S CONSTITUTION 3.8% 26.37 11
10 8 PERFECT PEACH 3.8% 26.48 4
11 1 CONFRINGO 1.2% 80.34 12
12 10 MILES AWAY 1.1% 88.21 10
MEDIC ELITEWINDICATOR FAMILYVERBIERCOOL BLUESMILING EMPERORSTERLING WONGCHOY — wonAPOLAR FIGHTERNINJA DERBYU S S CONSTITUTIONPERFECT PEACHCONFRINGOMILES AWAY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 127

PLACE

4 19.5

9 37

11 26

QUINELLA

4,9 268

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 90

4,11 62

9,11 130.5

FORECAST

9,4 631

TIERCE

9,4,11 3,523

TRIO

4,9,11 608

FIRST 4

4,8,9,11 3,297

QUARTET

9,4,11,8 72,905

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/4 41.5

7/9 652.5