Happy Valley · 2025-05-21 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-21 was Class 3 over 1200m. HARMONY N BLESSED, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D A Hayes, won by NOSE, with KING MILES second and VICTORY SKY third. The 1.6 favourite KING MILES finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT 1.09.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 4 | 29.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 5 | KING MILES H1/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 1.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 6 | VICTORY SKY CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY INFINITY H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ANOTHER ZONDA B C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR B-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | O'LINER TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 1 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | DENFIELD TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 79.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | VIEW OF THE WORLD TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 66.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | TAI VICTORY SR/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 10 | 183.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KING MILES | 31.2% | 3.20 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | VICTORY SKY | 21.9% | 4.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 7.6% | 13.19 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 7.5% | 13.39 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY GLORY | 7.4% | 13.53 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.88 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 5.9% | 17.01 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | O'LINER | 4.0% | 24.94 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.6% | 37.94 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | DENFIELD | 2.5% | 39.26 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | VIEW OF THE WORLD | 1.9% | 53.82 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | TAI VICTORY | 1.2% | 82.30 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 293
PLACE
2 46.5
5 12
6 16
QUINELLA
2,5 209
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 79.5
2,6 159
5,6 19.5
FORECAST
2,5 845
TIERCE
2,5,6 3,002
TRIO
2,5,6 279
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 658
QUARTET
2,5,6,3 24,007
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/2,5,6 14,748
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 1,566
1/5 26
TRIPLE TRIO
1,6,8/1,4,6/2,5,6 609,066
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,8/1,4,6/Any Combination 4,184