Happy Valley · 2025-05-21 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-21 was Class 4 over 1200m. THRIVING BROTHERS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with CANDLELIGHT DINNER second and LOVING VIBES third. The 3.8 favourite LOVING VIBES finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT 1.09.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 3 | 4.2 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.4 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | LOVING VIBES Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | DRACO CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | LEGEND STAR TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 189.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | NEBRASKAN B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER SIXTY H/P E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GALLANT REX TT1 L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 9 | 59.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | GLORIOUS RYDER XB1 K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 12 | 138.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NEBRASKAN | 34.4% | 2.91 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | LOVING VIBES | 20.4% | 4.89 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 8.0% | 12.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER SIXTY | 7.5% | 13.26 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | DRACO | 6.5% | 15.45 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 6.2% | 16.06 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 3.7% | 27.24 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 3.4% | 29.46 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | GALLANT REX | 3.3% | 30.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 2.9% | 34.98 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR | 2.7% | 37.59 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | LEGEND STAR | 1.0% | 98.00 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 42.5
PLACE
1 17.5
4 34
6 17.5
QUINELLA
1,4 262.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 92
1,6 54
4,6 100.5
FORECAST
1,4 491
TIERCE
1,4,6 3,133
TRIO
1,4,6 514
FIRST 4
1,4,6,11 713
QUARTET
1,4,6,11 17,944
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
6/1 269
6/4 131