Happy Valley · 2025-05-21 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EMBRACES Closed strongly TT 1.39.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 11 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 5 | 37.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 27.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly B1/TT M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 2 | 4.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | KING OF FIGHTERS Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | DRAGON JOY SR-/TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 4 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | STURDY RUBY TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | GOOD LUCK BABE Led early XB/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 10 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | HAROLD WIN V/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 1 | 7.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | KOLACHI M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 38.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-21 was Class 3 over 1650m. EMBRACES, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won by 1/2, with STAR CONTACT second and PRESTIGE ALWAYS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite KING OF FIGHTERS finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 26.2% | 3.82 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | HAROLD WIN | 21.9% | 4.57 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 10.6% | 9.41 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 9.4% | 10.62 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | EMBRACES | 8.1% | 12.40 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | STURDY RUBY | 6.3% | 15.91 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | SKY TRUST | 5.1% | 19.79 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER UNICORN | 5.0% | 20.07 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | DRAGON JOY | 2.4% | 42.18 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 2.3% | 43.91 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | KOLACHI | 1.6% | 62.25 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | STAR CONTACT | 1.2% | 81.24 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 63
PLACE
3 21
4 84.5
7 60.5
QUINELLA
3,4 1,204.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 313
3,7 236
4,7 1,024
FORECAST
3,4 1,930
TIERCE
3,4,7 41,321
TRIO
3,4,7 8,400
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 6,947
3,4,7,11 3,767
QUARTET
3,4,7,1 108,913
3,4,7,11 158,240
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/3 2,445.5
2/4 888.5