Happy Valley · 2025-05-21 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-21 was Class 4 over 1000m. LEAN MASTER, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with HAPPY UNITED second and SPICY SPANGLE third. The 4.4 favourite DAY DAY VICTORY finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LEAN MASTER B/TT 0.57.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY UNITED B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 4 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE CP-/B1/XB2 E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 10 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT H-/XB/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 6 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | DAY DAY VICTORY A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 4.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | SZERYNG K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 52.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SAVVY TWINKLE CP/XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 5.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY BOYS XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 113.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | LA MOMENTO H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 68.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE H/P/TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PLENTIFUL A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 16.1% | 6.23 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | LEAN MASTER | 14.1% | 7.10 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 11.9% | 8.40 | 12 |
| 4 | 4 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 11.9% | 8.43 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 11.4% | 8.78 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE | 11.2% | 8.91 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY UNITED | 8.2% | 12.25 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | SZERYNG | 7.1% | 13.99 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 3.8% | 26.49 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.4% | 40.97 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY BOYS | 1.0% | 95.45 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | LA MOMENTO | 0.9% | 112.48 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 49.5
PLACE
1 31.5
6 21
8 20
QUINELLA
1,6 234
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 76
1,8 106
6,8 65
FORECAST
6,1 432
TIERCE
6,1,8 2,027
TRIO
1,6,8 428
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 1,788
QUARTET
6,1,8,3 29,936
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
11/11/1 3,630
11/11/6 7,892
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,11/1,6,8 217,716
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 376.5
11/6 1,836.5