Happy Valley · 2025-05-21 · 20:11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly 1.40.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | DASHING DRAGON Closed strongly B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 12 | 116.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MIGHTY COMMANDER Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 2.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | RED MAJESTY B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | STORMI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE B/TT A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 5 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SIMPLE HEDGE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | DRAGON STAR B/XB K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | COSMO NAVIGATOR Led early B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 7 | 116.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | DEAL COMPLETED B-/XB H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 112.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-21 was Class 4 over 1650m. TO INFINITY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by J Richards, won by 3/4, with SUPREME AGILITY second and ATOMIC BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite MIGHTY COMMANDER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 26.3% | 3.81 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 14.4% | 6.93 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | DRAGON STAR | 14.3% | 7.01 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY | 10.8% | 9.29 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 10.1% | 9.89 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | RED MAJESTY | 7.5% | 13.40 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | TO INFINITY | 5.5% | 18.09 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 4.7% | 21.32 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | STORMI | 3.5% | 28.68 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 1.2% | 84.70 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | DEAL COMPLETED | 1.0% | 97.86 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | DASHING DRAGON | 0.8% | 126.96 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 329
PLACE
1 38.5
9 27.5
11 70.5
QUINELLA
1,11 1,477.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 167
1,11 371.5
9,11 293
FORECAST
11,1 3,283
TIERCE
11,1,9 22,579
TRIO
1,9,11 3,772
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 32,990
QUARTET
11,1,9,5 1,101,053
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/1 73.5
11/11 1,523