Happy Valley · 2025-05-21 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-21 was Class 3 over 1200m. DRAGON FOUR SEAS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by HD, with POWER KOEPP second and SOVEREIGN FUND third. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B 1.09.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 4.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | POWER KOEPP A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 8 | 13.0 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | SOVEREIGN FUND B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 6 | 7.6 | N |
| 4 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | EVERSTAR CP M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EASON TT2 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 12 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPERB BOY TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 1 | 5.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | THE RED HARE E1/TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | GOLDEN RISE B/TT1 B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 10 | 41.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | NUCLEOZOR TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 4 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 2 | 6.3 | 5 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 16.8% | 5.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | POWER KOEPP | 15.0% | 6.68 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 14.7% | 6.79 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPERB BOY | 10.9% | 9.16 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | EASON | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | EVERSTAR | 6.9% | 14.46 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON | 3.8% | 25.99 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDEN RISE | 3.2% | 30.83 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | THE RED HARE | 2.8% | 36.19 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 2.6% | 38.63 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | NUCLEOZOR | 1.8% | 56.20 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 40
PLACE
3 38.5
9 16
12 24
QUINELLA
3,9 268.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 85.5
3,12 132.5
9,12 62.5
FORECAST
9,3 459
TIERCE
9,3,12 2,403
TRIO
3,9,12 582
FIRST 4
3,6,9,12 871
QUARTET
9,3,12,6 19,469
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/3/3 2,423
2/3/9 11,587
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/3,9,12 970,524
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 145
3/9 653
SIX UP
1,11/1,6/1,4/2,5/3,4/3,9 38,366
11/6/1/2/3/9 7,754,402
21 [Others] —
2 [Z Purton] —