Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 18:42
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LEATHER MASTER Closed strongly CP 2.18.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 5.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | STORM RUNNER Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 2 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 50.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | GOLDEN FAIRY L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 1 | 8.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG V/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly H/PC/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | U S S CONSTITUTION Closed strongly H/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | GO GO GO PC-/P2/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly B/TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 11 | 44.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | THE WAY WE WIN BR/PC/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 5 | 43.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER TREASURE Led early B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 65.0 | 30-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 5 over 2200m. LEATHER MASTER, ridden by A Badel and trained by K L Man, won by 2-1/4, with STORM RUNNER second and COLOURFUL BARON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite MR ALADDIN finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 20.0% | 4.99 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | LEATHER MASTER | 16.7% | 6.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG | 16.3% | 6.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | MR ALADDIN | 11.4% | 8.80 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 8.6% | 11.60 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | GO GO GO | 8.5% | 11.70 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | STORM RUNNER | 5.0% | 19.86 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 3.8% | 26.25 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER TREASURE | 2.6% | 39.21 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | FLYING SILVER | 2.5% | 39.34 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | THE WAY WE WIN | 2.4% | 41.99 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON | 2.2% | 45.97 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 54
PLACE
1 34.5
7 115
11 19
QUINELLA
1,11 337
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 744.5
1,11 106.5
7,11 449
FORECAST
11,1 568
TIERCE
11,1,7 24,020
TRIO
1,7,11 5,619
FIRST 4
1,7,10,11 8,327
QUARTET
11,1,7,10 163,099