Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 4 over 1800m. S J TOURBILLON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with FIREFOOT second and KASA PAPA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite FIREFOOT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly CP/TT 1.51.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | FIREFOOT Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 8 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly H J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 2 | 5.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | LEAN HERO B/XB/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | FLOOF Led early TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 7.8 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 8.4 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | COMET SPLENDIDO CP/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 3 | 30.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | GOR MO TUEN Closed strongly TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 12 | 97.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SANDMAN B/TT K De Melo · D Eustace | K De Melo | D Eustace | 5 | 132.0 | 23 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FIREFOOT | 18.7% | 5.34 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE | 15.4% | 6.49 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 14.5% | 6.88 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 9.9% | 10.05 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON | 7.9% | 12.73 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | FLOOF | 7.7% | 12.95 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 7.7% | 13.04 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | KASA PAPA | 6.0% | 16.63 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | LEAN HERO | 5.2% | 19.16 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 5.0% | 19.82 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | GOR MO TUEN | 1.1% | 90.21 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | SANDMAN | 0.8% | 131.54 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 111.5
PLACE
9 19.5
11 31
12 20.5
QUINELLA
9,11 254.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 92.5
9,12 49.5
11,12 74.5
FORECAST
11,9 685
TIERCE
11,9,12 2,840
TRIO
9,11,12 456
FIRST 4
3,9,11,12 1,222
QUARTET
11,9,12,3 25,503
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/9 95.5
11/11 770