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Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 13:15

Race 6

Class 3 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 3 over 1200m. STORM RIDER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3-1/2, with STORMING DRAGON second and GIANT LEAP third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.10.00
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 STORM RIDER CP-/B1 1.10.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 2.0 3-1/2
2 11 STORMING DRAGON V/TT L Ferraris · J Richards 8 9.8 3-1/2
3 4 GIANT LEAP B A Atzeni · P F Yiu 1 6.8 3-1/2
4 9 FATAL BLOW A Badel · M Newnham 9 21.0 4-3/4
5 2 ETERNAL FORTUNE B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 12 39.0 5
6 1 SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 13.0 5
7 10 FIND MY LOVE B K De Melo · D J Whyte 7 13.0 5-1/4
8 3 BEAUTY INFINITY B Avdulla · J Size 5 10.0 7-1/4
9 6 SUPERB BOY B2/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 4 16.0 7-3/4
10 7 OSI HONOUR B1/XB1/TT1 K Teetan · D Eustace 3 65.0 12-1/2
11 12 KA YING CHEER V-/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 6 16.0 13
12 8 THE LION KING B1/TT1 M F Poon · F C Lor 11 106.0 13-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORM RIDER2. STORMING DRAGON+3.5L3. GIANT LEAP+3.5L4. FATAL BLOW+4.75L5. ETERNAL FORTUNE+5L6. SUPERB CAPITALIST+5L7. FIND MY LOVE+5.25L8. BEAUTY INFINITY+7.25L9. SUPERB BOY+7.75L10. OSI HONOUR+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick STORM RIDER (36.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 STORM RIDER 36.2% 2.76 1
2 4 GIANT LEAP 15.3% 6.53 3
3 3 BEAUTY INFINITY 13.1% 7.64 8
4 11 STORMING DRAGON 5.7% 17.54 2
5 6 SUPERB BOY 5.2% 19.35 9
6 7 OSI HONOUR 4.7% 21.44 10
7 9 FATAL BLOW 3.9% 25.86 4
8 12 KA YING CHEER 3.7% 27.35 11
9 2 ETERNAL FORTUNE 3.6% 28.05 5
10 8 THE LION KING 3.2% 30.92 12
11 10 FIND MY LOVE 2.8% 35.15 7
12 1 SUPERB CAPITALIST 2.7% 37.59 6
STORM RIDER — wonGIANT LEAPBEAUTY INFINITYSTORMING DRAGONSUPERB BOYOSI HONOURFATAL BLOWKA YING CHEERETERNAL FORTUNETHE LION KINGFIND MY LOVESUPERB CAPITALIST

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 20

PLACE

4 22.5

5 10.5

11 22.5

QUINELLA

5,11 75.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 30

4,11 73

5,11 30.5

FORECAST

5,11 119

TIERCE

5,11,4 496

TRIO

4,5,11 122

FIRST 4

4,5,9,11 421

QUARTET

5,11,4,9 5,323

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

12/5 245

12/11 135