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Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 14:55

Race 9

Class 2 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 2 over 1200m. KAHOLO ANGEL, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with COLOURFUL KING second and TOMODACHI KOKOROE third. The 2.9 favourite HORSEPOWER finished 9th.

Result

Official · 1.09.66
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 KAHOLO ANGEL TT 1.09.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 3 8.2 1/2
2 11 COLOURFUL KING TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 4 3.4 1/2
3 3 TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 10 16.0 3/4
3 12 HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 2 11.0 3/4
5 10 BRAVE STAR XB K De Melo · K W Lui 8 68.0 2
6 1 AURORA LADY CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 1 7.9 2-1/2
7 2 SON PAK FU B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 7 27.0 3-1/2
8 4 GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 18.0 4-1/4
9 5 HORSEPOWER XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 6 2.9 4-3/4
10 8 MID WINTER WIND CP/TT A Badel · M Newnham 5 31.0 6-1/2
11 6 WONDER KIT V L Hewitson · K W Lui 11 87.0 9
12 9 STELLAR EXPRESS B B Avdulla · J Size 12 39.0 9-3/4
0 GLORY ELITE K C Leung · K H Ting

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KAHOLO ANGEL2. COLOURFUL KING+0.5L3. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+0.75L3. HARMONY N BLESSED+0.75L5. BRAVE STAR+2L6. AURORA LADY+2.5L7. SON PAK FU+3.5L8. GUSTOSISIMO+4.25L9. HORSEPOWER+4.75L10. MID WINTER WIND+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick HORSEPOWER (29.9%) finished 9th — the winner KAHOLO ANGEL was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 HORSEPOWER 29.9% 3.34 9
2 11 COLOURFUL KING 26.2% 3.82 2
3 1 AURORA LADY 12.6% 7.92 6
4 7 KAHOLO ANGEL 8.4% 11.87 1
5 12 HARMONY N BLESSED 4.5% 21.99 3
6 9 STELLAR EXPRESS 4.1% 24.54 12
7 4 GUSTOSISIMO 4.0% 25.28 8
8 3 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 3.1% 32.28 3
9 2 SON PAK FU 2.6% 38.47 7
10 6 WONDER KIT 1.7% 57.26 11
11 10 BRAVE STAR 1.6% 62.51 5
12 8 MID WINTER WIND 1.2% 81.20 10
HORSEPOWERCOLOURFUL KINGAURORA LADYKAHOLO ANGEL — wonHARMONY N BLESSEDSTELLAR EXPRESSGUSTOSISIMOTOMODACHI KOKOROESON PAK FUWONDER KITBRAVE STARMID WINTER WIND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 82

PLACE

3 21

7 23

11 15

12 15.5

QUINELLA

7,11 122

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 67

3,11 42.5

3,12 96.5

7,11 42.5

7,12 41

11,12 27.5

FORECAST

7,11 330

TIERCE

7,11,3 2,332

7,11,12 1,084

TRIO

3,7,11 341

7,11,12 198

FIRST 4

3,7,11,12 1,348

QUARTET

7,11,3,12 13,932

7,11,12,3 13,218

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

9/1/7 3,888

9/1/11 440

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,9/3,7,11 22,902

1,2,9/7,11,12 13,974

8TH DOUBLE

1/7 1,209.5

1/11 145

SIX UP

6,9/7,12/5,11/2,9/1,9/7,11 8,512

6/12/5/9/1/7 324,308

5 [E C W Wong]

10 [C Fownes]