Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 20:11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WROTE A NEW PAGE Closed strongly TT 1.41.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 3.7 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 8.5 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | MIDORI FUJI Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 10 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | FLYING WROTE H-/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | NEBRASKAN B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | DRACO CP/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.4 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | POSITIVE SMILE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 59.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE XB/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 4 | 44.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | ONE AND ONLY Led early TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 24.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | RUN YES RUN M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 91.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 4 over 1650m. WROTE A NEW PAGE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with CAPITAL LEGEND second and TO INFINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite MIDORI FUJI finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MIDORI FUJI | 20.1% | 4.97 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | NEBRASKAN | 15.7% | 6.37 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING WROTE | 12.3% | 8.12 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | DRACO | 10.6% | 9.39 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 10.6% | 9.44 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | TO INFINITY | 6.4% | 15.55 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SETANTA | 5.8% | 17.10 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | ONE AND ONLY | 5.5% | 18.09 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE | 4.8% | 20.82 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 3.5% | 28.74 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | POSITIVE SMILE | 2.8% | 35.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | RUN YES RUN | 1.7% | 59.11 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 37
PLACE
6 15.5
9 24.5
10 50
QUINELLA
6,9 189.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 64
6,10 142.5
9,10 200.5
FORECAST
6,9 333
TIERCE
6,9,10 5,400
TRIO
6,9,10 1,334
FIRST 4
1,6,9,10 654
QUARTET
6,9,10,1 19,642
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
4/6 343.5
4/9 77