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Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 14:20

Race 8

Class 3 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 3 over 1650m. KEEFY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with HIGHLAND RAHY second and SKY TRUST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite PRESTIGE GOOD finished 8th.

Result

Official · 1.39.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 KEEFY Closed strongly 1.39.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor 1 7.4 3/4
2 9 HIGHLAND RAHY Led early B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 2 6.3 3/4
3 2 SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 6.4 5-1/2
4 3 ANOTHER WORLD CP Z Purton · T P Yung 7 6.0 5-3/4
5 5 EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 6 8.7 6-1/2
6 12 SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · P C Ng 9 16.0 6-3/4
7 4 ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 10 26.0 7-1/4
8 7 PRESTIGE GOOD V K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 3.7 7-1/4
9 8 HARMONY GALAXY TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 3 17.0 7-1/2
10 11 RAGGA BOMB XB K De Melo · D Eustace 5 53.0 9-1/4
11 10 IVY LEAGUE SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 12 45.0 10
12 6 STAR CONTACT B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes 11 45.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KEEFY2. HIGHLAND RAHY+0.75L3. SKY TRUST+5.5L4. ANOTHER WORLD+5.75L5. EXCELLENCE VALUE+6.5L6. SUPREME AGILITY+6.75L7. ROMANTIC LAOS+7.25L8. PRESTIGE GOOD+7.25L9. HARMONY GALAXY+7.5L10. RAGGA BOMB+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ANOTHER WORLD (16.4%) finished 4th — the winner KEEFY was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 ANOTHER WORLD 16.4% 6.11 4
2 7 PRESTIGE GOOD 16.4% 6.12 8
3 5 EXCELLENCE VALUE 15.6% 6.40 5
4 9 HIGHLAND RAHY 14.5% 6.88 2
5 2 SKY TRUST 9.1% 10.94 3
6 8 HARMONY GALAXY 8.5% 11.81 9
7 1 KEEFY 6.5% 15.39 1
8 12 SUPREME AGILITY 6.3% 15.81 6
9 10 IVY LEAGUE 2.6% 39.06 11
10 4 ROMANTIC LAOS 2.1% 46.54 7
11 6 STAR CONTACT 1.6% 64.09 12
12 11 RAGGA BOMB 0.4% 234.01 10
ANOTHER WORLDPRESTIGE GOODEXCELLENCE VALUEHIGHLAND RAHYSKY TRUSTHARMONY GALAXYKEEFY — wonSUPREME AGILITYIVY LEAGUEROMANTIC LAOSSTAR CONTACTRAGGA BOMB

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 74.5

PLACE

1 29.5

2 18

9 21

QUINELLA

1,9 245.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 94

1,9 96.5

2,9 72.5

FORECAST

1,9 563

TIERCE

1,9,2 3,209

TRIO

1,2,9 608

FIRST 4

1,2,3,9 849

QUARTET

1,9,2,3 23,173

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

9/1 690.5

9/9 52