Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 4 over 1200m. GOLDEN DARCI, ridden by K De Melo and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with TACTICAL COMMAND second and DENFIELD third. The 1.7 favourite BIENVENUE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GOLDEN DARCI XB 1.11.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 8 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | DENFIELD TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 7 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | FORTUNE WARRIOR P-/XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 50.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BOWSER XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 10 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | BIENVENUE B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 1.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | LUCKY KING B-/H/XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 52.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LOVING VIBES A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 9.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | FREE PONY H/P1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 88.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | AMAZING KID J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 11 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CIRCUIT DUFFY B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 10 | ALL'S WELL B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BIENVENUE | 50.3% | 1.99 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | LOVING VIBES | 19.2% | 5.21 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | GOLDEN DARCI | 8.6% | 11.69 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | BOWSER | 5.7% | 17.66 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | DENFIELD | 3.8% | 26.14 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.7% | 27.12 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | AMAZING KID | 2.6% | 38.03 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 2.1% | 47.93 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | LUCKY KING | 1.7% | 58.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 1.7% | 60.29 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | FREE PONY | 0.7% | 146.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 45
PLACE
1 32
7 30
12 14.5
QUINELLA
7,12 352
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 154
1,12 103.5
7,12 82.5
FORECAST
12,7 645
TIERCE
12,7,1 6,222
TRIO
1,7,12 1,199
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 5,801
QUARTET
12,7,1,6 91,892
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/6/7 922
4/6/12 3,344
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/1,7,12 154,926
4TH DOUBLE
6/7 134
6/12 459