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Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 3 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.51.77
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT 1.51.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C Fownes 2 4.9 1
2 2 CAMBRIDGE Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 5 10.0 1
3 1 FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early CP- K C Leung · F C Lor 8 16.0 1-1/2
4 12 GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting 10 17.0 2-1/4
5 10 STURDY RUBY Closed strongly CP2/TT A Badel · K L Man 6 21.0 2-1/2
6 8 ALLCASH Closed strongly CP/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 1 20.0 4-1/2
7 4 STAR MAC Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes 7 6.5 4-1/2
8 5 SHARPEN BRIGHT B M F Poon · D J Hall 9 15.0 4-1/2
9 6 LUCK IS BACK Closed strongly CP/TT- K De Melo · K W Lui 11 42.0 5-1/2
10 11 CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 12 15.0 5-3/4
11 3 SENOR TOBA CP-/TT2 J Orman · C H Yip 3 41.0 14-3/4
12 7 CASA ROCHESTER Z Purton · M Newnham 4 2.7 18

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 3 over 1800m. JOY OF SPRING, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with CAMBRIDGE second and FLAMINGO TRILLION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite CASA ROCHESTER finished 12th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JOY OF SPRING—2. CAMBRIDGE+1L3. FLAMINGO TRILLION+1.5L4. GOOD LUCK WIN+2.25L5. STURDY RUBY+2.5L6. ALLCASH+4.5L7. STAR MAC+4.5L8. SHARPEN BRIGHT+4.5L9. LUCK IS BACK+5.5L10. CHAIN OF GOLD+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CASA ROCHESTER (29.2%) finished 12th — the winner JOY OF SPRING was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 CASA ROCHESTER 29.2% 3.43 12
2 9 JOY OF SPRING 23.6% 4.24 1
3 5 SHARPEN BRIGHT 8.3% 12.10 8
4 2 CAMBRIDGE 7.7% 13.06 2
5 1 FLAMINGO TRILLION 5.7% 17.42 3
6 12 GOOD LUCK WIN 5.7% 17.70 4
7 4 STAR MAC 4.6% 21.92 7
8 8 ALLCASH 4.5% 22.04 6
9 10 STURDY RUBY 3.5% 28.44 5
10 11 CHAIN OF GOLD 3.3% 30.34 10
11 3 SENOR TOBA 2.2% 45.89 11
12 6 LUCK IS BACK 1.8% 55.22 9
CASA ROCHESTERJOY OF SPRING — wonSHARPEN BRIGHTCAMBRIDGEFLAMINGO TRILLIONGOOD LUCK WINSTAR MACALLCASHSTURDY RUBYCHAIN OF GOLDSENOR TOBALUCK IS BACK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 49.5

PLACE

1 53

2 30

9 17.5

QUINELLA

2,9 217

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 158.5

1,9 136.5

2,9 71.5

FORECAST

9,2 373

TIERCE

9,2,1 3,747

TRIO

1,2,9 653

FIRST 4

1,2,9,12 2,356

QUARTET

9,2,1,12 41,415

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,11/1,2,9 5,453

6TH DOUBLE

5/2 27.5

5/9 87

TRIPLE TRIO

1,7,12/4,5,11/1,2,9 2,974,585

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,7,12/4,5,11/Any Combination 4,129