Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 3 over 1800m. JOY OF SPRING, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with CAMBRIDGE second and FLAMINGO TRILLION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite CASA ROCHESTER finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT 1.51.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 2 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CAMBRIDGE Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early CP- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 10 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly CP2/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ALLCASH Closed strongly CP/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 1 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | STAR MAC Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | LUCK IS BACK Closed strongly CP/TT- K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 11 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 12 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SENOR TOBA CP-/TT2 J Orman · C H Yip | J Orman | C H Yip | 3 | 41.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CASA ROCHESTER Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 4 | 2.7 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CASA ROCHESTER | 29.2% | 3.43 | 12 |
| 2 | 9 | JOY OF SPRING | 23.6% | 4.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 8.3% | 12.10 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | CAMBRIDGE | 7.7% | 13.06 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 5.7% | 17.42 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 5.7% | 17.70 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | STAR MAC | 4.6% | 21.92 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | ALLCASH | 4.5% | 22.04 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | STURDY RUBY | 3.5% | 28.44 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 3.3% | 30.34 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | SENOR TOBA | 2.2% | 45.89 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCK IS BACK | 1.8% | 55.22 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 49.5
PLACE
1 53
2 30
9 17.5
QUINELLA
2,9 217
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 158.5
1,9 136.5
2,9 71.5
FORECAST
9,2 373
TIERCE
9,2,1 3,747
TRIO
1,2,9 653
FIRST 4
1,2,9,12 2,356
QUARTET
9,2,1,12 41,415
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,11/1,2,9 5,453
6TH DOUBLE
5/2 27.5
5/9 87
TRIPLE TRIO
1,7,12/4,5,11/1,2,9 2,974,585
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,12/4,5,11/Any Combination 4,129