Happy Valley · 2025-06-04 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-04 was Class 4 over 1200m. MEGA BONUS, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/4, with VULCANUS second and KING ECCELLENTE third. The 4.8 favourite VULCANUS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MEGA BONUS V 1.10.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | VULCANUS B K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | KING ECCELLENTE B/XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | INCANTO STAR A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 60.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FORTUNE WHISKEY TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 12 | 5.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SZERYNG K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | WISEMAN TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 38.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 5 | 5.6 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP CP/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | GOOD PROSPECT CP/H/XB A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 3 | 6.9 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE RACER TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 41.0 | 20 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 22.3% | 4.48 | 8 |
| 2 | 10 | GOOD PROSPECT | 20.2% | 4.94 | 11 |
| 3 | 11 | VULCANUS | 12.1% | 8.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | MEGA BONUS | 11.4% | 8.76 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 6.9% | 14.59 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 6.2% | 16.11 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | KING ECCELLENTE | 6.2% | 16.24 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | SZERYNG | 4.0% | 25.05 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | JOLLY COMPANION | 3.7% | 27.06 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | INCANTO STAR | 3.4% | 29.77 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | WISEMAN | 2.2% | 45.15 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE RACER | 1.4% | 69.53 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 78
PLACE
2 36.5
4 21
11 18
QUINELLA
4,11 168.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 127
2,11 79
4,11 62.5
FORECAST
4,11 346
TIERCE
4,11,2 2,463
TRIO
2,4,11 459
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 4,882
QUARTET
4,11,2,5 55,693
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,12/2,4,11 31,507
2ND DOUBLE
11/4 754
11/11 91.5