Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 18:25
Race 1
Class 5
1200m
12 runners
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Class 5 over 1200m. SPEEDY SMARTIE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with DOUBLE BINGO second and NOTTHESILLYONE third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE 1:09.16 K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 11 | DOUBLE BINGO M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | NOTTHESILLYONE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | EURO ROCKS C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SONIC BOOM M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 5.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 8.5 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | LEGEND STAR R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 7 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 2 | 8.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | SUNNY DARLING B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | FLYING AKEED P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 12 | 81.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | FALCON COURT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 28.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | BRILLIANT FIRE H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 5 | 47.0 | 15-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick SPEEDY SMARTIE (31.8%) won this race.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 31.8% | 3.14 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 15.4% | 6.49 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 7.7% | 12.98 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | DOUBLE BINGO | 6.9% | 14.49 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 6.9% | 14.56 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SONIC BOOM | 6.8% | 14.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 6.6% | 15.07 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | SUNNY DARLING | 5.7% | 17.70 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | LEGEND STAR | 3.3% | 30.07 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | EURO ROCKS | 3.3% | 30.38 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | FALCON COURT | 3.1% | 31.99 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | FLYING AKEED | 2.5% | 40.53 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.