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Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 17:48

Race 10

Class 3 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly 1:21.56 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 6.3 —
2 7 SOUTH STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor 8 2.5 SH
3 14 TOP TIME Closed strongly K De Melo · W Y So 1 5.2 2
4 8 DRAGON JOY M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 26.0 2-1/4
5 11 COPARTNER FLEET Led early K Teetan · K W Lui 3 18.0 2-1/2
6 9 SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 11 16.0 3
7 1 YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly H Bowman · J Richards 14 49.0 3-1/4
8 13 SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 10 74.0 3-3/4
9 12 WE CAN PARTY Closed strongly D Probert · D Eustace 13 187.0 3-3/4
10 5 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE B Avdulla · M Newnham 7 8.8 3-3/4
11 3 FLYING FORTRESS H Bentley · W K Mo 5 8.5 4-1/4
12 4 GHORGAN J Orman · K L Man 4 36.0 7
13 6 REFUSETOBEENGLISH C Y Ho · P C Ng 12 68.0 10-3/4
14 10 FAMILY KNIGHT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 164.0 11

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Class 3 over 1400m. BEAUTY CRESCENT, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with SOUTH STAR second and TOP TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SOUTH STAR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY CRESCENT—2. SOUTH STAR+0.1L3. TOP TIME+2L4. DRAGON JOY+2.25L5. COPARTNER FLEET+2.5L6. SPIRIT OF PEACE+3L7. YOUNG ACHIEVER+3.25L8. SUPREME MASTERMIND+3.75L9. WE CAN PARTY+3.75L10. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BEAUTY CRESCENT (14.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 BEAUTY CRESCENT 14.8% 6.75 1
2 7 SOUTH STAR 14.5% 6.92 2
3 14 TOP TIME 12.8% 7.82 3
4 3 FLYING FORTRESS 12.4% 8.09 11
5 9 SPIRIT OF PEACE 10.7% 9.33 6
6 5 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 9.3% 10.70 10
7 11 COPARTNER FLEET 6.6% 15.15 5
8 1 YOUNG ACHIEVER 4.8% 20.62 7
9 8 DRAGON JOY 4.4% 22.85 4
10 6 REFUSETOBEENGLISH 3.8% 26.39 13
11 10 FAMILY KNIGHT 2.2% 45.26 14
12 13 SUPREME MASTERMIND 1.6% 64.24 8
13 4 GHORGAN 1.2% 80.84 12
14 12 WE CAN PARTY 0.9% 111.02 9
BEAUTY CRESCENT — wonSOUTH STARTOP TIMEFLYING FORTRESSSPIRIT OF PEACEARMOUR WAR EAGLECOPARTNER FLEETYOUNG ACHIEVERDRAGON JOYREFUSETOBEENGLISHFAMILY KNIGHTSUPREME MASTERMINDGHORGANWE CAN PARTY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.