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Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 15:43

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly 1:21.71 C L Chau · M Newnham 14 5.7 —
2 1 BLAZING WUKONG A Atzeni · P F Yiu 7 4.7 1
3 4 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly J Orman · Y S Tsui 12 10.0 1-1/2
4 3 SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng 2 13.0 1-3/4
5 10 WINNING MACHINE R Kingscote · C S Shum 1 4.6 1-3/4
6 6 CONSPIRACY WITNESS Z Purton · D A Hayes 4 15.0 3-1/4
7 13 COLOURFUL WINNER Led early P N Wong · W Y So 13 7.0 4-1/4
8 9 SIGHT DREAMER Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 11 25.0 4-1/2
9 7 TIME TO FIRE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 10 143.0 4-1/2
10 12 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE D Probert · C Fownes 3 46.0 5-3/4
11 5 VIVACIOUS WIN L Ferraris · D Eustace 5 46.0 6-3/4
12 2 GOOD LUCK WIN Y L Chung · K H Ting 8 43.0 9-1/4
13 11 JOLLY JUMPER H Bentley · W K Mo 9 10.0 9-3/4
14 14 JOYFUL TREASURE L Hewitson · K W Lui 6 55.0 14

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Class 4 over 1400m. LUCKY SAM GOR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by M Newnham, won, with BLAZING WUKONG second and THE AUSPICIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite WINNING MACHINE finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY SAM GOR—2. BLAZING WUKONG+1L3. THE AUSPICIOUS+1.5L4. SUPREME AGILITY+1.75L5. WINNING MACHINE+1.75L6. CONSPIRACY WITNESS+3.25L7. COLOURFUL WINNER+4.25L8. SIGHT DREAMER+4.5L9. TIME TO FIRE+4.5L10. SOMELOVEFROMABOVE+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BLAZING WUKONG (18.3%) finished 2nd — the winner LUCKY SAM GOR was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BLAZING WUKONG 18.3% 5.47 2
2 4 THE AUSPICIOUS 12.8% 7.83 3
3 6 CONSPIRACY WITNESS 9.4% 10.64 6
4 3 SUPREME AGILITY 8.9% 11.28 4
5 13 COLOURFUL WINNER 7.8% 12.80 7
6 8 LUCKY SAM GOR 7.0% 14.35 1
7 11 JOLLY JUMPER 6.8% 14.64 13
8 12 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE 6.2% 16.13 10
9 9 SIGHT DREAMER 6.2% 16.20 8
10 10 WINNING MACHINE 5.7% 17.56 5
11 2 GOOD LUCK WIN 4.4% 22.56 12
12 14 JOYFUL TREASURE 2.6% 39.14 14
13 5 VIVACIOUS WIN 2.2% 45.29 11
14 7 TIME TO FIRE 1.8% 55.62 9
BLAZING WUKONGTHE AUSPICIOUSCONSPIRACY WITNESSSUPREME AGILITYCOLOURFUL WINNERLUCKY SAM GOR — wonJOLLY JUMPERSOMELOVEFROMABOVESIGHT DREAMERWINNING MACHINEGOOD LUCK WINJOYFUL TREASUREVIVACIOUS WINTIME TO FIRE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.