Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 18:25
Race 6
Class 4
1400m
Course C+3
14 runners
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Class 4 over 1400m. LUCKY SAM GOR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by M Newnham, won, with BLAZING WUKONG second and THE AUSPICIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite WINNING MACHINE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly 1:21.71 C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 14 | 5.7 | — |
| 2 | 1 | BLAZING WUKONG A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | WINNING MACHINE R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 1 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | COLOURFUL WINNER Led early P N Wong · W Y So | P N Wong | W Y So | 13 | 7.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SIGHT DREAMER Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | TIME TO FIRE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 143.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 3 | 46.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | VIVACIOUS WIN L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 5 | 46.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | GOOD LUCK WIN Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 8 | 43.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | JOLLY JUMPER H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 9 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | JOYFUL TREASURE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 55.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick BLAZING WUKONG (18.3%) finished 2nd — the winner LUCKY SAM GOR was rated #6.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BLAZING WUKONG | 18.3% | 5.47 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 12.8% | 7.83 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 9.4% | 10.64 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPREME AGILITY | 8.9% | 11.28 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 7.8% | 12.80 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 7.0% | 14.35 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | JOLLY JUMPER | 6.8% | 14.64 | 13 |
| 8 | 12 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 6.2% | 16.13 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | SIGHT DREAMER | 6.2% | 16.20 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | WINNING MACHINE | 5.7% | 17.56 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 4.4% | 22.56 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 2.6% | 39.14 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | VIVACIOUS WIN | 2.2% | 45.29 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | TIME TO FIRE | 1.8% | 55.62 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 5
Race 7 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m
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